Lotvox market story
ZIP 33040
Monroe County, FL
What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.
- Typical home value
- $949,386
- 12-month change
- −0.9%
- Months of supply
- 7.4
This week since 2026-10-08: Months of supply 7.4 (was 7.3) · Payment share of income 79.8% (was 78.9%)
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Who's going to sell in 33040 this year?
Lotvox Turnover Index
Ranking every home in 33040 by how likely it is to sell
The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 33040 yet.
Where
33040 in Monroe County, FL
33040 is one of 9 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Monroe County, FL.
Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 4 of the 9 with a value.
- Value rank in county
- 4 of 9
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research
Local life
Schools in 33040
14 school locations in 33040: 3 elementary, 3 middle, 8 high.
In alphabetical order: GERALD ADAMS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, HORACE O'BRYANT SCHOOL, KEYS CENTER, KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.
- School locations
- 14
Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)
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What it costs
Home values
What homes are worth in 33040
In February 2016 the typical home in 33040 was worth $525,666.
Values peaked at $1,031,082 in April 2024. The latest reading is −7.9% from that peak.
As of August 2026: $949,386, −0.9% over twelve months.
- Typical home value
- $949,386
- 12-month change
- −0.9%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Monthly cost vs. price
Start with the typical home: $949,386. Put 20% down and borrow $759,509 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.
That is $5,259 a month in principal and interest.
The median household here earns $79,038 a year, $6,587 a month. So the payment takes 79.8% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).
The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 44.2% in 2016.
- Payment share of income
- 79.8%
- Monthly P&I
- $5,259
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Lotvox lens
The payment, at each month's rate
Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in February 2016 (3.66%) the payment was $1,926.
In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $2,203.
By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $4,884 — +122% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +40%.
- Payment change since 2020
- +122%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Home value after inflation
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Reported values rose +81% since February 2016.
General prices (CPI-U) rose +41% over the same span.
Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2016 home was worth $740,053. So the real change is +28%, not +81%.
- Real change since 2016
- +28%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Home values
33040 against its neighbors
33040: +81% since February 2016.
Monroe County: +93% since February 2016.
Florida: +93% since February 2016 — 33040 ran behind it by 12 points.
- Change since 2016
- +81%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
33040 among Florida ZIPs
Against 1,098 Florida ZIP codes, 33040 sits at the 0th percentile for affordability (price vs local income).
50th for appreciation (recent value growth); 14th for rental yield (rent vs price).
- Affordability percentile
- 0th
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
Lotvox lens
Rent or own
Owning the typical home costs about $6,208 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $3,490 a month.
Price divided by a year's rent: 22.7. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.
- Price-to-rent
- 22.7
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
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What's moving
Housing pulse
Listings Flow Ladder
Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 40 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 89% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 280. That is 100% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
Going out — closed sales: about 38 a month. That is 70% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 30% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 70% of its 2015–2019 level.
The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 7.4 months of supply — above the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.
The net reading: about 2 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.
- Months of supply
- 7.4
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Sales pace vs. normal
Homes sold: about 38 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).
The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 44 — so sales ran at 86% of it, and below it in 23 of the last 24 months.
- Sales vs 2015–19 level
- 86%
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
New supply
Homes being permitted
Across Monroe County, builders pulled permits for 279 new homes in 2025.
Of those, 86% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).
- Units permitted 2025
- 279
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025
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Who's holding, who's leaving
Housing pulse
Migration and inventory
This ZIP sits in Monroe County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 994 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 1,064 moved out.
Net across those counties: −70 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 280 in June 2026.
Most arrivals came from Miami-Dade, FL (423 households); most departures went to Miami-Dade, FL (337).
- Net households (top-10 flows)
- −70
Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01
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