Lotvox market story · compare
ZIP 85048 vs ZIP 85248
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Who's going to sell
10,741 homes ranked · top fifth held 29% of later sales (20% by chance)
Where
85048 in Maricopa County, AZ
85048 is one of 135 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Maricopa County, AZ.
Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 8 of the 39 nearby ZIPs shown.
- Value rank among nearby ZIPs
- 8 of 39
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research
Local life
Schools in 85048
13 school locations in 85048: 6 elementary, 3 middle, 4 high.
In alphabetical order: Desert Vista High School, EVIT - Desert Vista High School, Horizon Honors Elementary School, Horizon Honors Secondary School, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.
- School locations
- 13
Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)
13,764 homes ranked · top fifth held 20.4% of later sales (20% by chance)
Where
85248 in Maricopa County, AZ
85248 is one of 135 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Maricopa County, AZ — 63% of its own area is in the county.
Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 11 of the 37 nearby ZIPs shown.
- Value rank among nearby ZIPs
- 11 of 37
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research
Local life
Schools in 85248
9 school locations in 85248: 1 elementary, 5 middle, 3 high.
In alphabetical order: Anna Marie Jacobson Elementary School, Basha Elementary, BASIS Chandler, BASIS Chandler Primary- South Campus, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.
- School locations
- 9
Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)
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What it costs
Home values
What homes are worth in 85048
In January 2000 the typical home in 85048 was worth $197,214.
Values peaked at $620,481 in July 2022. The latest reading is −6.8% from that peak.
As of August 2026: $578,277, −0.1% over twelve months.
- Typical home value
- $578,277
- 12-month change
- −0.1%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Monthly cost vs. price
Start with the typical home: $578,277. Put 20% down and borrow $462,622 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.
That is $3,203 a month in principal and interest.
The median household here earns $123,198 a year, $10,267 a month. So the payment takes 31.2% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).
The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 10.6% in 2000.
- Payment share of income
- 31.2%
- Monthly P&I
- $3,203
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Lotvox lens
The payment, at each month's rate
Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,181.
In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,399.
By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,975 — +113% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +34%.
- Payment change since 2020
- +113%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Home value after inflation
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Reported values rose +193% since January 2000.
General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.
Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $389,222. So the real change is +49%, not +193%.
- Real change since 2000
- +49%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Home values
85048 against its neighbors
85048: +193% since January 2000.
Maricopa County: +212% since January 2000.
Arizona: +207% since January 2000 — 85048 ran behind it by 14 points.
- Change since 2000
- +193%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
85048 among Arizona ZIPs
Against 398 Arizona ZIP codes, 85048 sits at the 64th percentile for affordability (price vs local income).
55th for appreciation (recent value growth); 23rd for rental yield (rent vs price).
- Affordability percentile
- 64th
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
Lotvox lens
Rent or own
Owning the typical home costs about $3,781 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,847 a month.
Price divided by a year's rent: 26.1. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.
- Price-to-rent
- 26.1
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
Home values
What homes are worth in 85248
In January 2000 the typical home in 85248 was worth $201,179.
Values peaked at $604,591 in July 2022. The latest reading is −9.1% from that peak.
As of August 2026: $549,653, −1.6% over twelve months.
- Typical home value
- $549,653
- 12-month change
- −1.6%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Monthly cost vs. price
Start with the typical home: $549,653. Put 20% down and borrow $439,722 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.
That is $3,045 a month in principal and interest.
The median household here earns $94,220 a year, $7,852 a month. So the payment takes 38.8% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).
The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 14.2% in 2000.
- Payment share of income
- 38.8%
- Monthly P&I
- $3,045
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Lotvox lens
The payment, at each month's rate
Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,205.
In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,386.
By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,828 — +104% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +28%.
- Payment change since 2020
- +104%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Home value after inflation
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Reported values rose +173% since January 2000.
General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.
Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $397,047. So the real change is +38%, not +173%.
- Real change since 2000
- +38%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Home values
85248 against its neighbors
85248: +173% since January 2000.
Maricopa County: +212% since January 2000.
Arizona: +207% since January 2000 — 85248 ran behind it by 34 points.
- Change since 2000
- +173%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
85248 among Arizona ZIPs
Against 398 Arizona ZIP codes, 85248 sits at the 33rd percentile for affordability (price vs local income).
25th for appreciation (recent value growth); 60th for rental yield (rent vs price).
- Affordability percentile
- 33rd
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
Lotvox lens
Rent or own
Owning the typical home costs about $3,594 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $2,248 a month.
Price divided by a year's rent: 20.4. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.
- Price-to-rent
- 20.4
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
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What's moving
Housing pulse
Listings Flow Ladder
Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 36 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 49% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 107. That is 52% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
Going out — closed sales: about 41 a month. That is 58% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.6 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.
The net reading: about 5 more homes sold than came on each month, so inventory is shrinking. The basin is draining.
- Months of supply
- 2.6
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Sales pace vs. normal
Homes sold: about 41 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).
The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 59 — so sales ran at 69% of it, and below it in 24 of the last 24 months.
- Sales vs 2015–19 level
- 69%
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
New supply
Homes being permitted
Across Maricopa County, builders pulled permits for 31,651 new homes in 2025.
Of those, 54% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).
- Units permitted 2025
- 31,651
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025
Housing pulse
Listings Flow Ladder
Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 70 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 85% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 210. That is 89% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
Going out — closed sales: about 72 a month. That is 81% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 6% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 94% of its 2015–2019 level.
The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.9 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.
The net reading: about 2 more homes sold than came on each month, so inventory is shrinking. The basin is draining.
- Months of supply
- 2.9
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Sales pace vs. normal
Homes sold: about 72 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).
The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 75 — so sales ran at 96% of it, and below it in 22 of the last 24 months.
- Sales vs 2015–19 level
- 96%
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
New supply
Homes being permitted
Across Maricopa County, builders pulled permits for 31,651 new homes in 2025.
Of those, 54% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).
- Units permitted 2025
- 31,651
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025
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Who's holding, who's leaving
Housing pulse
Migration and inventory
This ZIP sits in Maricopa County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 25,749 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 25,843 moved out.
Net across those counties: −94 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 107 in June 2026.
Most arrivals came from Pinal, AZ (6,549 households); most departures went to Pinal, AZ (10,805).
- Net households (top-10 flows)
- −94
Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01
Who's holding
How long owners in 85048 have held
Of 5,107 homes with a recorded purchase date, 15% have had the same owner for 20 years or more, and 29% changed hands in the last five.
25% are owned from a different mailing address, 6% from out of state.
- Held 20+ years
- 15%
- Owned from elsewhere
- 25%
Source: County assessor and recorder public records · data as of 2026-10-11
Housing pulse
Migration and inventory
This ZIP sits in Maricopa County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 25,749 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 25,843 moved out.
Net across those counties: −94 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 210 in June 2026.
Most arrivals came from Pinal, AZ (6,549 households); most departures went to Pinal, AZ (10,805).
- Net households (top-10 flows)
- −94
Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01
Who's holding
How long owners in 85248 have held
Of 6,229 homes with a recorded purchase date, 11% have had the same owner for 20 years or more, and 35% changed hands in the last five.
24% are owned from a different mailing address, 14% from out of state.
- Held 20+ years
- 11%
- Owned from elsewhere
- 24%
Source: County assessor and recorder public records · data as of 2026-10-11