Lotvox market story · compare

ZIP 33859 vs ZIP 33838

ZIP 33859

Polk County, FL

ZIP 33838

Polk County, FL

1 of 4

Who's going to sell

Turnover Index not published for 33859 yet.

Where

33859 in Polk County, FL

33801 · $233,30233803 · $287,34533805 · $231,78133809 · $311,24133810 · $316,17133811 · $333,43433812 · $373,32333813 · $369,66133815 · $183,13533823 · $303,09533827 · $300,52633830 · $277,03233835 · no value published33837 · $333,57233838 · $264,58233839 · $284,18033840 · $191,46833841 · $228,13833843 · $214,70733844 · $292,63633847 · no value published33849 · $395,15033850 · $306,52133851 · $308,50033853 · $220,30633854 · $89,07433855 · $292,98233856 · no value published33858 · no value published33859 · $271,84333860 · $285,30033867 · no value published33868 · $261,04833877 · no value published33880 · $251,61033881 · $262,52033884 · $295,51733897 · $341,89333898 · $249,88934759 · $276,046 33859
$89K$395K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

33859 is one of 40 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Polk County, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 21 of the 34 with a value.

Value rank in county
21 of 34

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 33859

1 school location in 33859: 1 middle.

In alphabetical order: BOK ACADEMY. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
1

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

Turnover Index not published for 33838 yet.

Where

33838 in Polk County, FL

33801 · $233,30233803 · $287,34533805 · $231,78133809 · $311,24133810 · $316,17133811 · $333,43433812 · $373,32333813 · $369,66133815 · $183,13533823 · $303,09533827 · $300,52633830 · $277,03233835 · no value published33837 · $333,57233838 · $264,58233839 · $284,18033840 · $191,46833841 · $228,13833843 · $214,70733844 · $292,63633847 · no value published33849 · $395,15033850 · $306,52133851 · $308,50033853 · $220,30633854 · $89,07433855 · $292,98233856 · no value published33858 · no value published33859 · $271,84333860 · $285,30033867 · no value published33868 · $261,04833877 · no value published33880 · $251,61033881 · $262,52033884 · $295,51733897 · $341,89333898 · $249,88934759 · $276,046 33838
$89K$395K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

33838 is one of 40 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Polk County, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 22 of the 34 with a value.

Value rank in county
22 of 34

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 33838

3 school locations in 33838: 1 elementary, 1 middle, 1 high.

In alphabetical order: DON E WOODS OPPORTUNITY CENTER, DUNDEE ELEMENTARY ACADEMY, DUNDEE RIDGE MIDDLE ACADEMY. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
3

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

2 of 4

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 33859

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025Peak September 2022 · $297,083Latest · $271,843
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 33859 was worth $101,793.

Values peaked at $297,083 in September 2022. The latest reading is −8.5% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $271,843, −3.8% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$271,843
12-month change
−3.8%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$271,843
Loan at 20% down
$217,474
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,506
Median household income, per month
$5,156
Share of income
29.2%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 10.9% → 29.2%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $271,843. Put 20% down and borrow $217,474 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,506 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $61,871 a year, $5,156 a month. So the payment takes 29.2% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 10.9% in 2000.

Payment share of income
29.2%
Monthly P&I
$1,506

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K$2K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $6676.67% rate · $1,399
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $610.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $667.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,399 — +110% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +32%.

Payment change since 2020
+110%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +167% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $200,899. So the real change is +35%, not +167%.

Real change since 2000
+35%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

33859 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
33859 (2000 = 100)Polk County (2000 = 100)Florida (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

33859: +167% since January 2000.

Polk County: +222% since January 2000.

Florida: +245% since January 2000 — 33859 ran behind it by 78 points.

Change since 2000
+167%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$1,778
principal + interest $1,506 · taxes & insurance est. $272
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$2,000
Price-to-rent ratio
11.3
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $1,778 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $2,000 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 11.3. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
11.3

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Home values

What homes are worth in 33838

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025Peak September 2022 · $297,576Latest · $264,582
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 33838 was worth $73,672.

Values peaked at $297,576 in September 2022. The latest reading is −11.1% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $264,582, −4.1% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$264,582
12-month change
−4.1%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$264,582
Loan at 20% down
$211,666
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,466
Median household income, per month
$3,710
Share of income
39.5%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 11.0% → 39.5%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $264,582. Put 20% down and borrow $211,666 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,466 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $44,514 a year, $3,710 a month. So the payment takes 39.5% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 11.0% in 2000.

Payment share of income
39.5%
Monthly P&I
$1,466

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K$2K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $6516.67% rate · $1,361
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $441.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $651.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,361 — +109% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +32%.

Payment change since 2020
+109%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +259% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $145,399. So the real change is +82%, not +259%.

Real change since 2000
+82%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

33838 against its neighbors

0100200300400500200020052010201520202025
33838 (2000 = 100)Polk County (2000 = 100)Florida (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

33838: +259% since January 2000.

Polk County: +222% since January 2000.

Florida: +245% since January 2000 — 33838 ran ahead of it by 14 points.

Change since 2000
+259%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$1,730
principal + interest $1,466 · taxes & insurance est. $264
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,964
Price-to-rent ratio
11.2
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $1,730 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,964 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 11.2. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
11.2

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

3 of 4

What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo5.5 mo5.5 months of supplyNet +9 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 29 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026).

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 108.

Going out — closed sales: about 20 a month. The drain is drawn 14% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 86% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 5.5 months of supply — inside the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 9 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
5.5

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

01020304020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 20 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 14 — so sales ran at 143% of it, and below it in 0 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
143%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

05,00010,00015,000202212,211202312,513202410,38420258,236
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Polk County, builders pulled permits for 8,236 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 82% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
8,236

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo5.3 mo5.3 months of supplyNet +6 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 18 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026).

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 64.

Going out — closed sales: about 12 a month. The drain is drawn 36% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 64% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 5.3 months of supply — inside the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 6 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
5.3

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

0510152020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 12 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 12 — so sales ran at 100% of it, and below it in 8 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
100%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

05,00010,00015,000202212,211202312,513202410,38420258,236
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Polk County, builders pulled permits for 8,236 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 82% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
8,236

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

4 of 4

Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
15,366
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
9,213
Net households
+6,153
Top origins
Orange, FL4,119
Osceola, FL3,499
Hillsborough, FL3,217
Top destinations
Orange, FL2,300
Hillsborough, FL2,055
Osceola, FL1,987
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Polk County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 15,366 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 9,213 moved out.

Net across those counties: +6,153 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 108 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Orange, FL (4,119 households); most departures went to Orange, FL (2,300).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+6,153

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
15,366
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
9,213
Net households
+6,153
Top origins
Orange, FL4,119
Osceola, FL3,499
Hillsborough, FL3,217
Top destinations
Orange, FL2,300
Hillsborough, FL2,055
Osceola, FL1,987
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Polk County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 15,366 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 9,213 moved out.

Net across those counties: +6,153 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 64 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Orange, FL (4,119 households); most departures went to Orange, FL (2,300).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+6,153

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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