Lotvox market story · compare

ZIP 33849 vs ZIP 33812

ZIP 33849

Polk County, FL

ZIP 33812

Polk County, FL

1 of 4

Who's going to sell

Turnover Index not published for 33849 yet.

Where

33849 in Polk County, FL

33801 · $233,30233803 · $287,34533805 · $231,78133809 · $311,24133810 · $316,17133811 · $333,43433812 · $373,32333813 · $369,66133815 · $183,13533823 · $303,09533827 · $300,52633830 · $277,03233835 · no value published33837 · $333,57233838 · $264,58233839 · $284,18033840 · $191,46833841 · $228,13833843 · $214,70733844 · $292,63633847 · no value published33849 · $395,15033850 · $306,52133851 · $308,50033853 · $220,30633854 · $89,07433855 · $292,98233856 · no value published33858 · no value published33859 · $271,84333860 · $285,30033867 · no value published33868 · $261,04833877 · no value published33880 · $251,61033881 · $262,52033884 · $295,51733897 · $341,89333898 · $249,88934759 · $276,046 33849
$89K$395K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

33849 is one of 40 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Polk County, FL — 98% of its own area is in the county.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 1 of the 34 with a value.

Value rank in county
1 of 34

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Turnover Index not published for 33812 yet.

Where

33812 in Polk County, FL

33801 · $233,30233803 · $287,34533805 · $231,78133809 · $311,24133810 · $316,17133811 · $333,43433812 · $373,32333813 · $369,66133815 · $183,13533823 · $303,09533827 · $300,52633830 · $277,03233835 · no value published33837 · $333,57233838 · $264,58233839 · $284,18033840 · $191,46833841 · $228,13833843 · $214,70733844 · $292,63633847 · no value published33849 · $395,15033850 · $306,52133851 · $308,50033853 · $220,30633854 · $89,07433855 · $292,98233856 · no value published33858 · no value published33859 · $271,84333860 · $285,30033867 · no value published33868 · $261,04833877 · no value published33880 · $251,61033881 · $262,52033884 · $295,51733897 · $341,89333898 · $249,88934759 · $276,046 33812
$89K$395K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

33812 is one of 40 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Polk County, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 2 of the 34 with a value.

Value rank in county
2 of 34

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 33812

1 school location in 33812: 1 elementary.

In alphabetical order: MI ESCUELA MONTESSORI. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
1

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

2 of 4

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 33849

$0$200K$400K$600K20122015201820212024Peak February 2025 · $401,967Latest · $395,150
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2012 the typical home in 33849 was worth $132,481.

Values peaked at $401,967 in February 2025. The latest reading is −1.7% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $395,150, +2.2% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$395,150
12-month change
+2.2%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$395,150
Loan at 20% down
$316,120
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$2,189
Median household income, per month
$5,826
Share of income
37.6%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2012–2026: 12.6% → 37.6%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $395,150. Put 20% down and borrow $316,120 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $2,189 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $69,911 a year, $5,826 a month. So the payment takes 37.6% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 12.6% in 2012.

Payment share of income
37.6%
Monthly P&I
$2,189

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K201220152018202120242.68% rate · $9136.67% rate · $2,033
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2012 (3.92%) the payment was $501.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $913.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,033 — +123% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +40%.

Payment change since 2020
+123%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K20122015201820212024
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2012Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +198% since January 2012.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +47% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2012 home was worth $194,284. So the real change is +103%, not +198%.

Real change since 2012
+103%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

33849 against its neighbors

010020030040020122015201820212024
33849 (2012 = 100)Polk County (2012 = 100)Florida (2012 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

33849: +198% since January 2012.

Polk County: +209% since January 2012.

Florida: +186% since January 2012 — 33849 ran ahead of it by 12 points.

Change since 2012
+198%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,584
principal + interest $2,189 · taxes & insurance est. $395
Rent: county median rent (ACS)
$1,363
Price-to-rent ratio
24.2
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Census ACS · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,584 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,363 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 24.2. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
24.2

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Home values

What homes are worth in 33812

$0$200K$400K$600K200020052010201520202025Peak May 2024 · $386,002Latest · $373,323
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 33812 was worth $110,212.

Values peaked at $386,002 in May 2024. The latest reading is −3.3% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $373,323, −0.2% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$373,323
12-month change
−0.2%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$373,323
Loan at 20% down
$298,658
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$2,068
Median household income, per month
$8,381
Share of income
24.7%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 7.3% → 24.7%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $373,323. Put 20% down and borrow $298,658 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $2,068 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $100,569 a year, $8,381 a month. So the payment takes 24.7% of income — rated “affordable” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 7.3% in 2000.

Payment share of income
24.7%
Monthly P&I
$2,068

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $8546.67% rate · $1,921
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $660.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $854.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,921 — +125% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +42%.

Payment change since 2020
+125%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +239% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $217,515. So the real change is +72%, not +239%.

Real change since 2000
+72%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

33812 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
33812 (2000 = 100)Polk County (2000 = 100)Florida (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

33812: +239% since January 2000.

Polk County: +222% since January 2000.

Florida: +245% since January 2000 — 33812 ran behind it by 6 points.

Change since 2000
+239%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,441
principal + interest $2,068 · taxes & insurance est. $373
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,904
Price-to-rent ratio
16.3
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,441 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,904 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 16.3. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
16.3

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

3 of 4

What's moving

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

01122023202420252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-05Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-05

Homes sold: about 0 a month in May 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 1 — so sales ran at 0% of it, and below it in 10 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
0%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-05

New supply

Homes being permitted

05,00010,00015,000202212,211202312,513202410,38420258,236
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Polk County, builders pulled permits for 8,236 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 82% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
8,236

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo4.5 mo4.5 months of supplyNet +7 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 21 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 72% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 62.

Going out — closed sales: about 14 a month. That is 53% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 45% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 55% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 4.5 months of supply — inside the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 7 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
4.5

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

010203020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 14 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 23 — so sales ran at 61% of it, and below it in 24 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
61%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

05,00010,00015,000202212,211202312,513202410,38420258,236
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Polk County, builders pulled permits for 8,236 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 82% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
8,236

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

4 of 4

Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
15,366
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
9,213
Net households
+6,153
Top origins
Orange, FL4,119
Osceola, FL3,499
Hillsborough, FL3,217
Top destinations
Orange, FL2,300
Hillsborough, FL2,055
Osceola, FL1,987
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-04-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-04-01

This ZIP sits in Polk County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 15,366 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 9,213 moved out.

Net across those counties: +6,153 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 1 in April 2026.

Most arrivals came from Orange, FL (4,119 households); most departures went to Orange, FL (2,300).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+6,153

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-04-01

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
15,366
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
9,213
Net households
+6,153
Top origins
Orange, FL4,119
Osceola, FL3,499
Hillsborough, FL3,217
Top destinations
Orange, FL2,300
Hillsborough, FL2,055
Osceola, FL1,987
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Polk County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 15,366 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 9,213 moved out.

Net across those counties: +6,153 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 62 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Orange, FL (4,119 households); most departures went to Orange, FL (2,300).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+6,153

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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