Lotvox market story

ZIP 28645

Caldwell County, NC

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$217,706
12-month change
+0.8%
Months of supply
4.9

This week since 2026-10-08: Months of supply 4.9 (was 5.1) · Payment share of income 28.6% (was 28.3%)

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Who's going to sell in 28645 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 28645 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 28645 yet.

Where

28645 in Caldwell County, NC

28611 · $169,14528630 · $257,56928638 · $250,75028645 · $217,70628667 · no value published 28645
$169K$258K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

28645 is one of 5 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Caldwell County, NC — 96% of its own area is in the county.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 3 of the 4 with a value.

Value rank in county
3 of 4

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 28645

Elementary · 6Middle · 5High · 2Other · 2
Source: NCESSource: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

15 school locations in 28645: 6 elementary, 5 middle, 2 high, 2 other.

In alphabetical order: Caldwell Online Academy, Davenport A+ School, Gamewell Elementary, Gamewell Middle, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
15

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 28645

$0$100K$200K$300K20022007201220172022Peak December 2024 · $223,108Latest · $217,706
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In August 2001 the typical home in 28645 was worth $82,797.

Values peaked at $223,108 in December 2024. The latest reading is −2.4% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $217,706, +0.8% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$217,706
12-month change
+0.8%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$217,706
Loan at 20% down
$174,165
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,206
Median household income, per month
$4,211
Share of income
28.6%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2001–2026: 10.9% → 28.6%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $217,706. Put 20% down and borrow $174,165 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,206 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $50,529 a year, $4,211 a month. So the payment takes 28.6% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 10.9% in 2001.

Payment share of income
28.6%
Monthly P&I
$1,206

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K200220072012201720222.68% rate · $4996.67% rate · $1,120
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in August 2001 (6.95%) the payment was $438.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $499.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,120 — +124% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +41%.

Payment change since 2020
+124%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K20022007201220172022
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to August 2001Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +163% since August 2001.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +88% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2001 home was worth $155,947. So the real change is +40%, not +163%.

Real change since 2001
+40%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

28645 against its neighbors

5010015020025030020022007201220172022
28645 (2001 = 100)Caldwell County (2001 = 100)North Carolina (2001 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

28645: +163% since August 2001.

Caldwell County: +161% since August 2001.

North Carolina: +141% since August 2001 — 28645 ran ahead of it by 21 points.

Change since 2001
+163%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$1,424
principal + interest $1,206 · taxes & insurance est. $218
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,228
Price-to-rent ratio
14.8
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $1,424 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,228 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 14.8. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
14.8

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo4.9 mo4.9 months of supplyNet +18 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 63 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026).

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 219.

Going out — closed sales: about 45 a month.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 4.9 months of supply — inside the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 18 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
4.9

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

020406020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 45 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 3 — so sales ran at 1,500% of it, and below it in 0 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
1,500%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

02004006002022281202324620242242025501
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Caldwell County, builders pulled permits for 501 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 100% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
501

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

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Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
993
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
930
Net households
+63
Top origins
Catawba, NC369
Burke, NC296
Alexander, NC73
Top destinations
Catawba, NC359
Burke, NC287
Alexander, NC77
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Caldwell County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 993 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 930 moved out.

Net across those counties: +63 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 219 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Catawba, NC (369 households); most departures went to Catawba, NC (359).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+63

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 28645 with 28611The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

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