Lotvox market story

ZIP 28405

New Hanover County, NC

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$375,126
12-month change
−0.1%
Months of supply
3.3

This week since 2026-10-08: Months of supply 3.3 (was 3.4) · Payment share of income 36.8% (was 36.3%)

1 of 5

Who's going to sell in 28405 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 28405 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 28405 yet.

Where

28405 in New Hanover County, NC

28401 · $330,52928403 · $397,87028405 · $375,12628409 · $513,66428411 · $467,51728412 · $393,24028428 · $601,35628429 · $369,49728449 · $755,48028480 · $1,753,687 28405
$331K$1.8M typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

28405 is one of 10 ZIP codes that lie mostly in New Hanover County, NC.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 8 of the 10 with a value.

Value rank in county
8 of 10

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 28405

9 school locations in 28405: 4 elementary, 2 middle, 3 high.

In alphabetical order: A H Snipes Academy of Arts/Des, Career Readiness Academy at Mosley PLC, Dr Hubert Eaton Sr Elem, Emma B Trask Middle, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
9

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

2 of 5

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 28405

$0$200K$400K$600K200420082012201620202024Peak February 2025 · $382,885Latest · $375,126
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In May 2003 the typical home in 28405 was worth $157,800.

Values peaked at $382,885 in February 2025. The latest reading is −2.0% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $375,126, −0.1% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$375,126
12-month change
−0.1%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$375,126
Loan at 20% down
$300,101
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$2,078
Median household income, per month
$5,651
Share of income
36.8%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2003–2026: 15.5% → 36.8%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $375,126. Put 20% down and borrow $300,101 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $2,078 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $67,809 a year, $5,651 a month. So the payment takes 36.8% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 15.5% in 2003.

Payment share of income
36.8%
Monthly P&I
$2,078

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K2004200820122016202020242.68% rate · $8306.67% rate · $1,930
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in May 2003 (5.48%) the payment was $716.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $830.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,930 — +133% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +46%.

Payment change since 2020
+133%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K200420082012201620202024
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to May 2003Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +138% since May 2003.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +83% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2003 home was worth $288,277. So the real change is +30%, not +138%.

Real change since 2003
+30%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

28405 against its neighbors

50100150200250300200420082012201620202024
28405 (2003 = 100)New Hanover County (2003 = 100)North Carolina (2003 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

28405: +138% since May 2003.

New Hanover County: +146% since May 2003.

North Carolina: +133% since May 2003 — 28405 ran ahead of it by 5 points.

Change since 2003
+138%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,453
principal + interest $2,078 · taxes & insurance est. $375
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,738
Price-to-rent ratio
18.0
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,453 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,738 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 18.0. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
18.0

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

3 of 5

What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo3.3 mo3.3 months of supplyNet +6 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 51 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 72% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 149. That is 59% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

Going out — closed sales: about 45 a month. That is 75% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 3.3 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 6 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
3.3

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

02040608020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 45 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 54 — so sales ran at 83% of it, and below it in 24 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
83%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

01,0002,0003,0004,00020223,32720232,88320242,58120252,332
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across New Hanover County, builders pulled permits for 2,332 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 52% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
2,332

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

4 of 5

Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
3,008
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
3,672
Net households
−664
Top origins
Brunswick, NC750
Wake, NC681
Pender, NC490
Top destinations
Brunswick, NC1,286
Pender, NC760
Wake, NC524
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in New Hanover County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 3,008 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 3,672 moved out.

Net across those counties: −664 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 149 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Brunswick, NC (750 households); most departures went to Brunswick, NC (1,286).

Net households (top-10 flows)
−664

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

5 of 5

What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 28405 with 28429The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

Back to the full ZIP 28405 page

Lotvox V6D HydroClose

Share this story

Link: https://lotvox.com/story/wilmington-nc/zip/28405