Lotvox market story

ZIP 32040

Baker County, FL

What homes are worth, what they cost to carry, how fast they sell — one step at a time.

Typical home value
$378,192
12-month change
+4.4%
Months of supply
3.1

This week since 2026-10-08: Months of supply 3.1 (was 3.4) · Payment share of income 32.8% (was 32.4%)

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Who's going to sell in 32040 this year?

Lotvox Turnover Index

Ranking every home in 32040 by how likely it is to sell

Lotvox Turnover Index
Not yet live
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · accuracy by ZIP · methodology

The Lotvox Turnover Index isn't offered for 32040 yet.

Where

32040 in Baker County, FL

32040 · $378,19232063 · $302,03432072 · no value published32087 · $272,833 32040
$273K$378K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

32040 is one of 4 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Baker County, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 1 of the 3 with a value.

Value rank in county
1 of 3

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 32040

2 school locations in 32040: 1 elementary, 1 high.

In alphabetical order: WESTSIDE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
2

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

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What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 32040

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200520092013201720212025Peak April 2026 · $380,740Latest · $378,192
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In March 2004 the typical home in 32040 was worth $154,745.

Values peaked at $380,740 in April 2026. The latest reading is −0.7% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $378,192, +4.4% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$378,192
12-month change
+4.4%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$378,192
Loan at 20% down
$302,554
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$2,095
Median household income, per month
$6,389
Share of income
32.8%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2004–2026: 13.4% → 32.8%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $378,192. Put 20% down and borrow $302,554 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $2,095 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $76,667 a year, $6,389 a month. So the payment takes 32.8% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 13.4% in 2004.

Payment share of income
32.8%
Monthly P&I
$2,095

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K2005200920132017202120252.68% rate · $8626.67% rate · $1,946
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in March 2004 (5.45%) the payment was $699.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $862.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,946 — +126% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +42%.

Payment change since 2020
+126%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K200520092013201720212025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to March 2004Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +144% since March 2004.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +79% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2004 home was worth $276,350. So the real change is +37%, not +144%.

Real change since 2004
+37%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

32040 against its neighbors

50100150200250300200520092013201720212025
32040 (2004 = 100)Baker County (2004 = 100)Florida (2004 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

32040: +144% since March 2004.

Baker County: +115% since March 2004.

Florida: +133% since March 2004 — 32040 ran ahead of it by 12 points.

Change since 2004
+144%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,473
principal + interest $2,095 · taxes & insurance est. $378
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,015
Price-to-rent ratio
31.1
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,473 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,015 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 31.1. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
31.1

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo3.1 mo3.1 months of supplyNet −2 / month · inventory shrinking
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 7 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026).

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 26.

Going out — closed sales: about 8 a month.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 3.1 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 2 more homes sold than came on each month, so inventory is shrinking. The basin is draining.

Months of supply
3.1

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

03581020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 8 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 3 — so sales ran at 267% of it, and below it in 1 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
267%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

010020030020222062023742024992025121
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Baker County, builders pulled permits for 121 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 82% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
121

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

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Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
406
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
323
Net households
+83
Top origins
Duval, FL267
Clay, FL86
Columbia, FL27
Top destinations
Duval, FL188
Clay, FL53
Nassau, FL33
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Baker County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 406 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 323 moved out.

Net across those counties: +83 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 26 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Duval, FL (267 households); most departures went to Duval, FL (188).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+83

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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What to do

Own a home here?What's my home worth?Enter your address for a county-record value range. Buying?Compare 32040 with 32063The same story, side by side. An agent?See where the index is livethe farm territory and this page's sponsor spot.

Back to the full ZIP 32040 page

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Link: https://lotvox.com/story/baker-county-fl/zip/32040