Gainesville, FL · Alachua County, FL · 197 properties with county records
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Earleton 32631 is in Alachua County, FL, part of the Gainesville Metro. The typical home value in Earleton 32631 is $371,454 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026), up 1.4% from a year earlier. Homes that sold went under contract in a median 104 days, and 0% of listings took a price cut (Redfin Data Center, period ending Aug 31, 2026). On Lotvox's market-leverage reading of that data neither buyers nor sellers hold a clear edge. The Lotvox Turnover Index is not published for 32631 yet: it appears only where a held-out test on the county's recorded sales beats chance. Across Alachua County's 16 ZIPs with a Zillow value, the middle one is $326,119, so 32631 sits 14% above the county middle. Lotvox holds county assessor records for 197 properties in 32631.
Headline value data through August 2026. Each source below carries its own date.
Is 32631 a buyer's or seller's market?
By Lotvox's leverage reading of Redfin data through Aug 31, 2026, 32631 is a balanced market. Homes went under contract in a median 104 days.
What do homes in 32631 sell for?
The typical home value in 32631 is $371,454 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026), up 1.4% in a year. County records put the median at about $154 per square foot (computed Apr 21, 2026).
Who is likely to sell in 32631?
Lotvox only publishes its Turnover Index where a held-out test on recorded sales beats chance, and 32631 has not passed that test yet. When it does, the score appears here.
How does 32631 compare to Alachua County?
32631's typical value of $371,454 compares with a middle value of $326,119 across Alachua County's 16 ZIPs. Both are Zillow Home Value Index figures for August 2026.
Where does this 32631 data come from?
Values and rents come from Zillow's research data, sales pace from the Redfin Data Center, and property counts and turnover from county assessor and deed records. Each number on this page carries its own date, and the method is published at lotvox.com/methodology.
Cite as: Lotvox ZIP market record, 32631 Earleton, FL, data through August 2026, https://lotvox.com/gainesville/zip/32631
Listings Flow Ladder — 32631
Faucet, basin and drain — new listings in, active inventory, closed sales out.as of Aug 31, 2026
Thin market — under 25 active listings; ratios withheld
Faucet — new listings
1/mo
200% of normal (0) · gushing· baseline thin
Basin — active listings
3
150% of normal (2) · high· baseline thin
Months of supply
—
derived — not published at this grain
Drain — closed sales
—/mo
— of normal (0)· baseline thin
Net — faucet minus drain
—
—
Reading
current
as of 2026-08-31
Compare against:2015-01-01 to 2019-12-31 · 4 same-month points
How plugged is the drain? Two definitions, both ours, deliberately not reconciled.
—Absorption vs its own normal— 1 - (closed sales / active listings) / same-month median of that ratio
—Closed sales vs its own normal— 1 - closed sales per month / same-month median closed sales per month
Closed sales over 24 months — two different numbers, deliberately not merged.
—/mofall in the monthly rate (%)— peak 1/mo (2025-06-30) to —/mo now
0transactions that did not happen— summed monthly shortfall vs the same-month normal, over 2 months below it (vs 2015-19 (COVID excluded))
rate_drop_from_peak is a change in the monthly rate; cumulative_shortfall_vs_normal counts transactions not transacted. They are different quantities and are not interchangeable.
2026-08-31
Redfin market data (county + ZIP), via Lotvox. As of 2026-08-31. Normal = same-month median of monthly rates, minimum 3 same-month points. Source window 3 months (flows shown per month). months_of_supply is not published at this grain (0 non-null rows measured); derived here as active listings / closed sales per month. A fresher supply-only read (0 new, 2 active, 2026-09-01, Realtor.com inventory (county + ZIP), via Lotvox) is available but is NOT used in the net — that source publishes no closed sales, so subtracting across it would mix two vintages.
Should you buy here?
buyer-timing lens
35affordability /100
Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.
Not available for this ZIP — no rent or ownership-cost estimate published here.
Rent to price
Not available for this ZIP — no price-to-rent ratio published here.
45
/100
mixed
stable · balanced · prices rising year-over-year.
Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / seller
buyer-timing lens
Strong Buyer's Market
Needs 30.1% correction for affordability
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)75
Valuation Gap (25%)80
Supply & Demand (20%)100
Days on Market (5%)100
Strong buyer leverage in 32631. If you must buy now, offer 10-15% below list price. Payment burden: 39.9% of median income. A 12% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 312. Market appears 27% overpriced vs. assessed values.
What to Offer
Offer 10-15% below list price. Sellers are under pressure.
Conditions most similar to late 2007 — overvaluation without corresponding income growth. Significant correction potential.
STABLEBALANCED
Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers.
Address lookup
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in 3,142 · out 2,941 · Alachua County, FL (parent county of this ZIP)
active inventory
as of 2026-06-01 · IRS SOI county-to-county migration flows 2022-2023 + Redfin inventory history
Price bands
mix-shift
Price Bands — the median behind the median
A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Alachua.
Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier
7 tiers had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row.
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
$172k
$151
1,461
33.7%
COUNTY · Alachua, FL
$250k–$500k
$337k
$202
2,171
50.2%
COUNTY · Alachua, FL
$500k–$750k
$580k
$235
451
10.4%
COUNTY · Alachua, FL
$750k–$1M
$836k
$251
120
2.8%
COUNTY · Alachua, FL
$1M–$1.5M
$1.19M
$296
75
1.7%
COUNTY · Alachua, FL
$1.5M–$2M
$1.68M
$346
24
0.6%
COUNTY · Alachua, FL
$2M+
$3.49M
$312
27
0.6%
COUNTY · Alachua, FL
All sales (the headline median)
$309k
$192
4,329
100%
COUNTY · Alachua, FL
No mix-shift history for this area. no geography from this ZIP up to metro has 8+ quarters of 10+ recorded arms-length sales across at least 4 price tiers. Trends are drawn only from recorded transactions; the last-sale snapshot above cannot carry a time series, because a property that sold twice keeps only its latest sale — which drags the history upward through the tiers and would invent the very mix shift this section exists to test for.
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the South census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 32631.
United States
South
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
ZIP 32631→Alachua County, FL
12-Month Direction
-9Stable
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
41· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.
Payment Burden
42.9%
severe
Source: Freddie Mac PMMS (FRED MORTGAGE30US) 7.4% · Zillow ZHVI · Census income · Updated 2026-10-08
Price-to-rent
23.1x
favors renting
Source: Zillow ZHVI ÷ (Zillow ZORI × 12)
Valuation15
+57.4%
overvalued
Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15
Insurance Risk
48/100
moderate
Source: FEMA/NFIP · Updated 2026-04
County distress indicators
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Economic indicators are mixed relative to comparable U.S. counties.
Unemployment Rate
5.4%
FL 4.5%US 4.4%
Near national averages
Source: BLS LAUS · 2026-0845d ago
Poverty Rate
18.5%
FL 12.4%US 12.6%
Higher than many comparable counties
Median Household Income
$59,659
FL $72,373US $82,006
Near national averages
Cost of Living (RPP)
101.2
FL 101.2US 100.3
Near national averages
Home Value (ZHVI)$308,496
County data: BLS, Census ACS, CDC, FBI UCR, Federal Reserve, USDA
Tenure by age of householder (ACS B25007) is not published below county. Any ZIP figure here is DERIVED from the county's age-specific owner rates applied to this ZIP's own age structure — never read directly.
Derived — this ZIP
4.3% in 2023
of owner-occupied homes have a householder 75 or older
