Flower Mound 75028

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX · Denton County, TX · 1,817 properties · updated 7/5/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

63affordability /100

Buyer leverage is seller slight; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden
22.2%
affordable
Days on market
23
daily
Price cuts
24.6%
of active
Valuation
-8.1%
vs assessor
Look up an address
68
/100
Stable
cooling · seller slight · prices easing year-over-year.
Price trend
42
Affordability
95
Valuation
70
Economic health
63

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

46/ 100SellerBalancedBuyer
Balanced Market
DOM: 43d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)0
Valuation Gap (25%)80
Supply & Demand (20%)85
Buy vs Rent (15%)50
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)40

Balanced market in 75028. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 22.2% of median income. Median days on market: 43. Renting is approximately 67% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 20.0). Market appears 16% overpriced vs. assessed values.

Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
COOLINGSELLER SLIGHT

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices down 2.0% YoY.

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Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price
$539,053
▾ 2.0% YoY
Days on market
23
daily · zip_data
Median rent
$2,241
ZORI
Investor score
45/100
cash-flow lens
Active listings
128
90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor
-8.1%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$495,400
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+65.0%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Denton+65.0%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Pricing detail
Price / sqft$394
Price-to-income3.7×

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How 75028 ranks in TX
percentile vs all Texas ZIPs · n=1763
Market velocity94%
Supply tightness90%
Affordability49%
Investment yield34%
Appreciation31%

Affordability, supply & momentum

50SUPPLY
Tight MarketSupply Tightness

Supply is below normal — sellers are favored but buyers still have options.

Months of Supply8.4 mo
Days on Market23d
Inv vs History+16.6%
Listing Density7.4/1k
Affordability — payment burden
Monthly payment (P&I)$2,723
Payment burden22.2%
Median income · ZIP$147,040
Mortgage rate6.49% · 30yr
Total monthly own$3,262
Monthly rent$2,241
Market dynamics
Price cut %24.6%
Momentumcooling
LeverageSELLER SLIGHT
Months of supply8.4
Sales (90d)0
Investment analysis
Median rent$2,241
Price-to-rent20.0
Est. cap rate3.2%
Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score2
Transit score
Bike score

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Denton County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

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