Durham-Chapel Hill, NC · Orange County, NC · 3,420 properties with county records
This page: 2 views, fetched by 1 AI engine, citations not yet checked, 0 address lookups, since 2026-10-01 (server log began then).
Chapel Hill 27517 is in Orange County, NC, part of the Durham Metro. The typical home value in Chapel Hill 27517 is $662,322 (Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026), up 0.2% from a year earlier. Homes that sold went under contract in a median 51 days, and 26% of listings took a price cut (Redfin Data Center, period ending Sep 30, 2026). On Lotvox's market-leverage reading of that data, with 5.6 months of supply, neither buyers nor sellers hold a clear edge. The Lotvox Turnover Index is not published for 27517 yet: it appears only where a held-out test on the county's recorded sales beats chance. Across Orange County's 7 ZIPs with a Zillow value, the middle one is $461,888, so 27517 sits 43% above the county middle. Typical rent is $1,669 a month (Zillow Observed Rent Index, September 2026). Lotvox holds county assessor records for 3,420 properties in 27517.
Headline value data through September 2026. Each source below carries its own date.
Is 27517 a buyer's or seller's market?
By Lotvox's leverage reading of Redfin data through Sep 30, 2026, 27517 is a balanced market. Homes went under contract in a median 51 days with 5.6 months of supply.
What do homes in 27517 sell for?
The typical home value in 27517 is $662,322 (Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026), up 0.2% in a year. County records put the median at about $375 per square foot (computed Apr 21, 2026).
Who is likely to sell in 27517?
Lotvox only publishes its Turnover Index where a held-out test on recorded sales beats chance, and 27517 has not passed that test yet. When it does, the score appears here.
How does 27517 compare to Orange County?
27517's typical value of $662,322 compares with a middle value of $461,888 across Orange County's 7 ZIPs. Both are Zillow Home Value Index figures for September 2026.
Where does this 27517 data come from?
Values and rents come from Zillow's research data, sales pace from the Redfin Data Center, and property counts and turnover from county assessor and deed records. Each number on this page carries its own date, and the method is published at lotvox.com/methodology.
Not available for this ZIP — no rent or ownership-cost estimate published here.
Rent to price
Not available for this ZIP — no price-to-rent ratio published here.
49
/100
mixed
stable · balanced · prices rising year-over-year.
Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / seller
buyer-timing lens
Balanced Market
Needs 14.3% correction for affordability
DOM: 57d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)100
Buy vs Rent (15%)100
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)60
Balanced market in 27517. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 33.3% of median income. Median days on market: 57. Renting is approximately 182% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 33.8).
Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
STABLEBALANCED
Market is holding steady with balanced conditions. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers.
Address lookup
$99 report path
Look Up an Address in 27517
Just type the street — we'll auto-scope the search to ZIP 27517.
Median price: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). Median rent: Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). Days on market and active listings: Redfin Data Center, rolling 90 days.
Valuation
3 lenses, different anchors
vs assessor
+16.8%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$773,800
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
—
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
+66.8%
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
Durham+66.8%
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap
Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.
Housing pulse — Housing pulse could not be loaded (429).
Price bands
mix-shift
Price Bands — the median behind the median
A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Chatham.
Aggregate median +1.2% YoY in Chatham, NC (county), but the under-$500k tier is +2.2% — both the aggregate and the entry tier are rising. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 27.6% to 31.1% (+3.4pp) and the $1M+ share from 17.2% to 16.3% (-0.9pp).
Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier
6 tiers had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row. 1 tier had too few sales at every level and are left blank rather than estimated.
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
$225k
$154
13
—
METRO · Durham, NC
$250k–$500k
$400k
$207
160
207.8%
COUNTY · Chatham, NC
$500k–$750k
$590k
$236
16
20.8%
COUNTY · Durham, NC
$750k–$1M
$853k
$255
130
168.8%
COUNTY · Chatham, NC
$1M–$1.5M
$1.10M
$289
70
90.9%
COUNTY · Chatham, NC
$1.5M–$2M
$1.66M
$378
10
13.0%
COUNTY · Chatham, NC
$2M+
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
All sales (the headline median)
$410k
$215
77
100%
COUNTY · Durham, NC
ZIP-level history was too thin to draw the tiers; served at county level (Chatham, NC), by quarter.
Share of sales by tier (quarterly)
If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)
The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
All sales (headline)
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the South census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 27517.
United States
South
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
ZIP 27517→Durham County, NC
12-Month Direction
-15Moderate Deterioration
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
36· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.
Payment Burden
35%
stretched
Source: Freddie Mac PMMS (FRED MORTGAGE30US) 7.32% · Zillow ZHVI · Census income · Updated 2026-10-22
Price-to-rent
33.1x
favors renting
Source: Zillow ZHVI ÷ (Zillow ZORI × 12)
Valuation7
+66.8%
overvalued
Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15
Supply/Demand
5.6 mo
balanced
Source: Redfin Data Center (ZIP): inventory ÷ monthly homes sold · Updated 2026-09-30
Insurance Risk
48/100
moderate
Source: FEMA/NFIP · Updated 2026-04
County distress indicators
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Economic indicators remain stronger than national averages.
Unemployment Rate
3.3%
NC 3.5%US 4.4%
Lower than most U.S. counties
Source: BLS LAUS · 2026-0857d ago
Poverty Rate
10.6%
NC 12.9%US 12.6%
Near national averages
Median Household Income
$79,501
NC $71,866US $82,006
Higher than most U.S. counties
Cost of Living (RPP)
93.8
NC 93.8US 100.3
Lower than most U.S. counties
Home Value (ZHVI)$400,425
County data: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), BLS, Census ACS, CDC, FBI UCR, Federal Reserve, USDA
