Lotvox market story · compare
ZIP 98040 vs ZIP 98004
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Who's going to sell
Turnover Index not published for 98040 yet.
Where
98040 in King County, WA
98040 is one of 86 ZIP codes that lie mostly in King County, WA.
Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 2 of the 35 nearby ZIPs shown.
- Value rank among nearby ZIPs
- 2 of 35
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research
Local life
Schools in 98040
6 school locations in 98040: 4 elementary, 1 middle, 1 high.
In alphabetical order: Islander Middle School, Island Park Elementary, Lakeridge Elementary School, Mercer Island High School, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.
- School locations
- 6
Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)
Turnover Index not published for 98004 yet.
Where
98004 in King County, WA
98004 is one of 86 ZIP codes that lie mostly in King County, WA.
Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 3 of the 36 nearby ZIPs shown.
- Value rank among nearby ZIPs
- 3 of 36
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research
Local life
Schools in 98004
4 school locations in 98004: 2 elementary, 1 middle, 1 high.
In alphabetical order: Bellevue High School, Chinook Middle School, Clyde Hill Elementary, Enatai Elementary School. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.
- School locations
- 4
Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)
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What it costs
Home values
What homes are worth in 98040
In January 2000 the typical home in 98040 was worth $640,187.
Values peaked at $2,460,111 in June 2022. The latest reading is −8.2% from that peak.
As of August 2026: $2,258,055, −0.8% over twelve months.
- Typical home value
- $2,258,055
- 12-month change
- −0.8%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Monthly cost vs. price
Start with the typical home: $2,258,055. Put 20% down and borrow $1,806,444 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.
That is $12,507 a month in principal and interest.
The median household here earns $202,359 a year, $16,863 a month. So the payment takes 74.2% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).
The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 21.0% in 2000.
- Payment share of income
- 74.2%
- Monthly P&I
- $12,507
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Lotvox lens
The payment, at each month's rate
Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $3,833.
In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $5,366.
By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $11,617 — +116% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +36%.
- Payment change since 2020
- +116%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Home value after inflation
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Reported values rose +253% since January 2000.
General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.
Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $1,263,475. So the real change is +79%, not +253%.
- Real change since 2000
- +79%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Home values
98040 against its neighbors
98040: +253% since January 2000.
King County: +235% since January 2000.
Washington: +236% since January 2000 — 98040 ran ahead of it by 17 points.
- Change since 2000
- +253%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
98040 among Washington ZIPs
Against 581 Washington ZIP codes, 98040 sits at the 0th percentile for affordability (price vs local income).
27th for appreciation (recent value growth); 2nd for rental yield (rent vs price).
- Affordability percentile
- 0th
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
Lotvox lens
Rent or own
Owning the typical home costs about $14,766 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $2,827 a month.
Price divided by a year's rent: 66.6. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.
- Price-to-rent
- 66.6
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
Home values
What homes are worth in 98004
In January 2000 the typical home in 98004 was worth $456,098.
Values peaked at $2,196,163 in June 2022. The latest reading is −11.0% from that peak.
As of August 2026: $1,954,222, −1.9% over twelve months.
- Typical home value
- $1,954,222
- 12-month change
- −1.9%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Monthly cost vs. price
Start with the typical home: $1,954,222. Put 20% down and borrow $1,563,378 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.
That is $10,825 a month in principal and interest.
The median household here earns $176,367 a year, $14,697 a month. So the payment takes 73.6% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).
The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 17.2% in 2000.
- Payment share of income
- 73.6%
- Monthly P&I
- $10,825
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Lotvox lens
The payment, at each month's rate
Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $2,731.
In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $4,737.
By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $10,054 — +112% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +34%.
- Payment change since 2020
- +112%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Home value after inflation
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Reported values rose +328% since January 2000.
General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.
Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $900,156. So the real change is +117%, not +328%.
- Real change since 2000
- +117%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Home values
98004 against its neighbors
98004: +329% since January 2000.
King County: +235% since January 2000.
Washington: +236% since January 2000 — 98004 ran ahead of it by 92 points.
- Change since 2000
- +329%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
98004 among Washington ZIPs
Against 581 Washington ZIP codes, 98004 sits at the 0th percentile for affordability (price vs local income).
14th for appreciation (recent value growth); 5th for rental yield (rent vs price).
- Affordability percentile
- 0th
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
Lotvox lens
Rent or own
Owning the typical home costs about $12,779 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $3,049 a month.
Price divided by a year's rent: 53.4. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.
- Price-to-rent
- 53.4
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
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What's moving
Housing pulse
Listings Flow Ladder
Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 34 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 77% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 66.
Going out — closed sales: about 22 a month. That is 54% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 30% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 70% of its 2015–2019 level.
The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 3.0 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.
The net reading: about 12 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.
- Months of supply
- 3.0
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Sales pace vs. normal
Homes sold: about 22 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).
The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 34 — so sales ran at 65% of it, and below it in 20 of the last 24 months.
- Sales vs 2015–19 level
- 65%
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
New supply
Homes being permitted
Across King County, builders pulled permits for 8,505 new homes in 2025.
Of those, 30% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).
- Units permitted 2025
- 8,505
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025
Housing pulse
Listings Flow Ladder
Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 63 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 94% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 207.
Going out — closed sales: about 40 a month. That is 62% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 57% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 43% of its 2015–2019 level.
The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 5.1 months of supply — inside the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.
The net reading: about 23 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.
- Months of supply
- 5.1
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Sales pace vs. normal
Homes sold: about 40 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).
The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 60 — so sales ran at 67% of it, and below it in 21 of the last 24 months.
- Sales vs 2015–19 level
- 67%
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
New supply
Homes being permitted
Across King County, builders pulled permits for 8,505 new homes in 2025.
Of those, 30% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).
- Units permitted 2025
- 8,505
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025
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Who's holding, who's leaving
Housing pulse
Migration and inventory
This ZIP sits in King County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 23,473 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 29,819 moved out.
Net across those counties: −6,346 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 66 in June 2026.
Most arrivals came from Snohomish, WA (7,334 households); most departures went to Snohomish, WA (10,534).
- Net households (top-10 flows)
- −6,346
Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01
County records
On the county rolls
County assessor records list 121 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $4,555,500; the typical home value is $2,258,055.
The assessor average sits +101.7% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.
- Properties on the roll
- 121
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
Housing pulse
Migration and inventory
This ZIP sits in King County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 23,473 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 29,819 moved out.
Net across those counties: −6,346 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 207 in June 2026.
Most arrivals came from Snohomish, WA (7,334 households); most departures went to Snohomish, WA (10,534).
- Net households (top-10 flows)
- −6,346
Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01
County records
On the county rolls
County assessor records list 344 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $4,697,050; the typical home value is $1,954,222.
The assessor average sits +140.4% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.
- Properties on the roll
- 344
Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)