ZIP 78263 vs ZIP 78154

78263 is one of 70 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Bexar County, TX.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 5 of the 37 nearby ZIPs shown.

5 school locations in 78263: 1 elementary, 2 middle, 2 high.

In alphabetical order: EAST CENTRAL CAST LEAD H S, EAST CENTRAL HERITAGE MIDDLE, EAST CENTRAL H S, LEGACY MIDDLE, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

78154 is one of 70 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Bexar County, TX — 56% of its own area is in the county.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 14 of the 37 nearby ZIPs shown.

11 school locations in 78154: 5 elementary, 2 middle, 3 high, 1 other.

In alphabetical order: ALLISON L STEELE E L C, FOUNDERS CLASSICAL ACADEMY OF SCHERTZ, GREEN VALLEY EL, JJAEP, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

In January 2000 the typical home in 78263 was worth $108,590.

Values peaked at $354,861 in August 2022. The latest reading is −1.7% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $348,783, +1.0% over twelve months.

Start with the typical home: $348,783. Put 20% down and borrow $279,026 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,932 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $81,793 a year, $6,816 a month. So the payment takes 28.3% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 8.8% in 2000.

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $650.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $900.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,794 — +99% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +25%.

Reported values rose +221% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $214,314. So the real change is +63%, not +221%.

78263: +221% since January 2000.

Bexar County: +143% since January 2000.

Texas: +160% since January 2000 — 78263 ran ahead of it by 61 points.

Against 1,763 Texas ZIP codes, 78263 sits at the 31st percentile for affordability (price vs local income).

65th for appreciation (recent value growth); 17th for rental yield (rent vs price).

Owning the typical home costs about $2,281 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,123 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 25.9. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

In January 2000 the typical home in 78154 was worth $141,988.

Values peaked at $340,998 in August 2022. The latest reading is −10.4% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $305,649, −1.8% over twelve months.

Start with the typical home: $305,649. Put 20% down and borrow $244,519 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,693 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $97,465 a year, $8,122 a month. So the payment takes 20.8% of income — rated “affordable” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 9.7% in 2000.

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $850.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $824.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,572 — +91% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +20%.

Reported values rose +115% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $280,228. So the real change is +9%, not +115%.

78154: +115% since January 2000.

Bexar County: +143% since January 2000.

Texas: +160% since January 2000 — 78154 ran behind it by 45 points.

Against 1,763 Texas ZIP codes, 78154 sits at the 70th percentile for affordability (price vs local income).

32nd for appreciation (recent value growth); 53rd for rental yield (rent vs price).

Owning the typical home costs about $1,999 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,683 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 15.1. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 44 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026).

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 141.

Going out — closed sales: about 21 a month. The drain is drawn 45% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 55% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 6.7 months of supply — above the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 23 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Homes sold: about 21 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 3 — so sales ran at 700% of it, and below it in 0 of the last 24 months.

Across Bexar County, builders pulled permits for 6,333 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 72% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 77 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 105% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 263. That is 157% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

Going out — closed sales: about 65 a month. That is 84% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 46% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 54% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 4.1 months of supply — inside the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 12 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Homes sold: about 65 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 61 — so sales ran at 107% of it, and below it in 19 of the last 24 months.

Across Bexar County, builders pulled permits for 6,333 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 72% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

This ZIP sits in Bexar County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 11,866 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 13,897 moved out.

Net across those counties: −2,031 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 141 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Guadalupe, TX (1,894 households); most departures went to Comal, TX (2,513).

County assessor records list 992 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $261,760; the typical home value is $348,783.

The assessor average sits −25.0% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.

This ZIP sits in Bexar County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 11,866 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 13,897 moved out.

Net across those counties: −2,031 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 263 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Guadalupe, TX (1,894 households); most departures went to Comal, TX (2,513).

County assessor records list 12,981 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $303,862; the typical home value is $305,649.

The assessor average sits −0.6% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.