Lotvox market story · compare

ZIP 34275 vs ZIP 34238

ZIP 34275

Sarasota County, FL

ZIP 34238

Sarasota County, FL

1 of 4

Who's going to sell

Turnover Index not published for 34275 yet.

Where

34275 in Sarasota County, FL

34223 · $372,10134228 · $947,72434229 · $655,65434231 · $364,02334232 · $355,37734233 · $360,93734234 · $278,18634235 · $311,15834236 · $1,004,39834237 · $281,55134238 · $494,97234239 · $492,23534240 · $744,11534241 · $583,45034242 · $839,33734275 · $497,58834285 · $373,50334286 · $309,38134287 · $250,82434288 · $320,62734289 · $326,80134291 · $316,15334292 · $394,43934293 · $364,664 34275
$251K$1.0M typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

34275 is one of 24 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Sarasota County, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 7 of the 24 with a value.

Value rank in county
7 of 24

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 34275

1 school location in 34275: 1 middle.

In alphabetical order: LAUREL NOKOMIS SCHOOL. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
1

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

Turnover Index not published for 34238 yet.

Where

34238 in Sarasota County, FL

34223 · $372,10134228 · $947,72434229 · $655,65434231 · $364,02334232 · $355,37734233 · $360,93734234 · $278,18634235 · $311,15834236 · $1,004,39834237 · $281,55134238 · $494,97234239 · $492,23534240 · $744,11534241 · $583,45034242 · $839,33734275 · $497,58834285 · $373,50334286 · $309,38134287 · $250,82434288 · $320,62734289 · $326,80134291 · $316,15334292 · $394,43934293 · $364,664 34238
$251K$1.0M typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

34238 is one of 24 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Sarasota County, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 8 of the 24 with a value.

Value rank in county
8 of 24

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 34238

1 school location in 34238: 1 middle.

In alphabetical order: IMAGINE SCHOOL AT PALMER RANCH. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
1

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

2 of 4

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 34275

$0$200K$400K$600K$800K200020052010201520202025Peak August 2022 · $608,541Latest · $497,588
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 34275 was worth $173,358.

Values peaked at $608,541 in August 2022. The latest reading is −18.2% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $497,588, −3.5% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$497,588
12-month change
−3.5%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$497,588
Loan at 20% down
$398,070
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$2,756
Median household income, per month
$7,042
Share of income
39.1%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 13.6% → 39.1%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $497,588. Put 20% down and borrow $398,070 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $2,756 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $84,503 a year, $7,042 a month. So the payment takes 39.1% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 13.6% in 2000.

Payment share of income
39.1%
Monthly P&I
$2,756

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K$4K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $1,2206.67% rate · $2,560
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,038.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,220.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,560 — +110% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +32%.

Payment change since 2020
+110%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K$800K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +187% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $342,140. So the real change is +45%, not +187%.

Real change since 2000
+45%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

34275 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
34275 (2000 = 100)Sarasota County (2000 = 100)Florida (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

34275: +187% since January 2000.

Sarasota County: +195% since January 2000.

Florida: +245% since January 2000 — 34275 ran behind it by 58 points.

Change since 2000
+187%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$3,254
principal + interest $2,756 · taxes & insurance est. $498
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$2,068
Price-to-rent ratio
20.1
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $3,254 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $2,068 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 20.1. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
20.1

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Home values

What homes are worth in 34238

$0$200K$400K$600K$800K200020052010201520202025Peak August 2022 · $596,246Latest · $494,972
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 34238 was worth $201,098.

Values peaked at $596,246 in August 2022. The latest reading is −17.0% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $494,972, −3.8% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$494,972
12-month change
−3.8%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$494,972
Loan at 20% down
$395,978
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$2,742
Median household income, per month
$7,882
Share of income
34.8%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 14.1% → 34.8%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $494,972. Put 20% down and borrow $395,978 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $2,742 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $94,583 a year, $7,882 a month. So the payment takes 34.8% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 14.1% in 2000.

Payment share of income
34.8%
Monthly P&I
$2,742

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K$4K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $1,2326.67% rate · $2,546
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,204.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,232.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,546 — +107% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +30%.

Payment change since 2020
+107%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$200K$400K$600K$800K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +146% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $396,888. So the real change is +25%, not +146%.

Real change since 2000
+25%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

34238 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
34238 (2000 = 100)Sarasota County (2000 = 100)Florida (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

34238: +146% since January 2000.

Sarasota County: +195% since January 2000.

Florida: +245% since January 2000 — 34238 ran behind it by 99 points.

Change since 2000
+146%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$3,237
principal + interest $2,742 · taxes & insurance est. $495
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,999
Price-to-rent ratio
20.6
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $3,237 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,999 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 20.6. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
20.6

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

3 of 4

What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo3.1 mo3.1 months of supplyNet −14 / month · inventory shrinking
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 77 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 141% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 286. That is 128% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

Going out — closed sales: about 92 a month. That is 166% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 3.1 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 14 more homes sold than came on each month, so inventory is shrinking. The basin is draining.

Months of supply
3.1

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

05010015020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 92 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 48 — so sales ran at 192% of it, and below it in 0 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
192%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

02,5005,0007,50010,00020227,32320237,82220247,46620256,627
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Sarasota County, builders pulled permits for 6,627 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 65% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
6,627

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo3.6 mo3.6 months of supplyNet −8 / month · inventory shrinking
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 57 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 86% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 238. That is 90% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

Going out — closed sales: about 65 a month. That is 106% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 3.6 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 8 more homes sold than came on each month, so inventory is shrinking. The basin is draining.

Months of supply
3.6

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

02040608020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 65 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 54 — so sales ran at 120% of it, and below it in 18 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
120%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

02,5005,0007,50010,00020227,32320237,82220247,46620256,627
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Sarasota County, builders pulled permits for 6,627 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 65% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
6,627

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

4 of 4

Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
6,042
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
6,574
Net households
−532
Top origins
Manatee, FL2,429
Charlotte, FL1,268
Lee, FL483
Top destinations
Manatee, FL3,150
Charlotte, FL1,408
Hillsborough, FL638
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Sarasota County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 6,042 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 6,574 moved out.

Net across those counties: −532 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 286 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Manatee, FL (2,429 households); most departures went to Manatee, FL (3,150).

Net households (top-10 flows)
−532

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
6,042
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
6,574
Net households
−532
Top origins
Manatee, FL2,429
Charlotte, FL1,268
Lee, FL483
Top destinations
Manatee, FL3,150
Charlotte, FL1,408
Hillsborough, FL638
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Sarasota County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 6,042 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 6,574 moved out.

Net across those counties: −532 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 238 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Manatee, FL (2,429 households); most departures went to Manatee, FL (3,150).

Net households (top-10 flows)
−532

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

County records

On the county rolls

Properties on the assessor roll
53
Average assessor market value
$378,300
Typical home value (ZHVI)
$494,972
Assessor vs market
−23.6%
Source: County records · Zillow (ZHVI) · LotvoxSource: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

County assessor records list 53 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $378,300; the typical home value is $494,972.

The assessor average sits −23.6% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.

Properties on the roll
53

Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Own in 34275?What's my home worth?Own in 34238?What's my home worth?An agent?Claim one of these ZIPs