Lotvox market story · compare

ZIP 33810 vs ZIP 33809

ZIP 33810

Polk County, FL

ZIP 33809

Polk County, FL

1 of 4

Who's going to sell

Turnover Index not published for 33810 yet.

Where

33810 in Polk County, FL

33801 · $233,30233803 · $287,34533805 · $231,78133809 · $311,24133810 · $316,17133811 · $333,43433812 · $373,32333813 · $369,66133815 · $183,13533823 · $303,09533827 · $300,52633830 · $277,03233835 · no value published33837 · $333,57233838 · $264,58233839 · $284,18033840 · $191,46833841 · $228,13833843 · $214,70733844 · $292,63633847 · no value published33849 · $395,15033850 · $306,52133851 · $308,50033853 · $220,30633854 · $89,07433855 · $292,98233856 · no value published33858 · no value published33859 · $271,84333860 · $285,30033867 · no value published33868 · $261,04833877 · no value published33880 · $251,61033881 · $262,52033884 · $295,51733897 · $341,89333898 · $249,88934759 · $276,046 33810
$89K$395K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

33810 is one of 40 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Polk County, FL — 73% of its own area is in the county.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 7 of the 34 with a value.

Value rank in county
7 of 34

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 33810

10 school locations in 33810: 7 elementary, 2 middle, 1 other.

In alphabetical order: DR. NE ROBERTS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, ELEMENTARY - N LAKELAND, GRIFFIN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, KATHLEEN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
10

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

Turnover Index not published for 33809 yet.

Where

33809 in Polk County, FL

33801 · $233,30233803 · $287,34533805 · $231,78133809 · $311,24133810 · $316,17133811 · $333,43433812 · $373,32333813 · $369,66133815 · $183,13533823 · $303,09533827 · $300,52633830 · $277,03233835 · no value published33837 · $333,57233838 · $264,58233839 · $284,18033840 · $191,46833841 · $228,13833843 · $214,70733844 · $292,63633847 · no value published33849 · $395,15033850 · $306,52133851 · $308,50033853 · $220,30633854 · $89,07433855 · $292,98233856 · no value published33858 · no value published33859 · $271,84333860 · $285,30033867 · no value published33868 · $261,04833877 · no value published33880 · $251,61033881 · $262,52033884 · $295,51733897 · $341,89333898 · $249,88934759 · $276,046 33809
$89K$395K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

33809 is one of 40 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Polk County, FL.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 8 of the 34 with a value.

Value rank in county
8 of 34

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 33809

4 school locations in 33809: 2 elementary, 1 middle, 1 high.

In alphabetical order: EDGAR L. PADGETT ELEMENTARY, LAKE GIBSON MIDDLE SCHOOL, WENDELL WATSON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
4

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

2 of 4

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 33810

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025Peak May 2024 · $333,117Latest · $316,171
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 33810 was worth $96,333.

Values peaked at $333,117 in May 2024. The latest reading is −5.1% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $316,171, −1.2% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$316,171
12-month change
−1.2%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$316,171
Loan at 20% down
$252,937
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,751
Median household income, per month
$5,812
Share of income
30.1%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 9.2% → 30.1%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $316,171. Put 20% down and borrow $252,937 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,751 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $69,738 a year, $5,812 a month. So the payment takes 30.1% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 9.2% in 2000.

Payment share of income
30.1%
Monthly P&I
$1,751

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K$2K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $7386.67% rate · $1,627
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $577.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $738.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,627 — +121% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +39%.

Payment change since 2020
+121%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +228% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $190,123. So the real change is +66%, not +228%.

Real change since 2000
+66%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

33810 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
33810 (2000 = 100)Polk County (2000 = 100)Florida (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

33810: +228% since January 2000.

Polk County: +222% since January 2000.

Florida: +245% since January 2000 — 33810 ran behind it by 17 points.

Change since 2000
+228%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,067
principal + interest $1,751 · taxes & insurance est. $316
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$2,036
Price-to-rent ratio
12.9
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,067 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $2,036 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 12.9. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
12.9

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Home values

What homes are worth in 33809

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025Peak May 2024 · $329,107Latest · $311,241
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 33809 was worth $100,271.

Values peaked at $329,107 in May 2024. The latest reading is −5.4% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $311,241, −1.0% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$311,241
12-month change
−1.0%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$311,241
Loan at 20% down
$248,993
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,724
Median household income, per month
$5,593
Share of income
30.8%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 9.9% → 30.8%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $311,241. Put 20% down and borrow $248,993 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,724 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $67,112 a year, $5,593 a month. So the payment takes 30.8% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 9.9% in 2000.

Payment share of income
30.8%
Monthly P&I
$1,724

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K$2K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $7326.67% rate · $1,601
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $600.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $732.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,601 — +119% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +38%.

Payment change since 2020
+119%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +210% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $197,895. So the real change is +57%, not +210%.

Real change since 2000
+57%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

33809 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
33809 (2000 = 100)Polk County (2000 = 100)Florida (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

33809: +210% since January 2000.

Polk County: +222% since January 2000.

Florida: +245% since January 2000 — 33809 ran behind it by 35 points.

Change since 2000
+210%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,035
principal + interest $1,724 · taxes & insurance est. $311
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,627
Price-to-rent ratio
15.9
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,035 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,627 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 15.9. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
15.9

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

3 of 4

What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo4.7 mo4.7 months of supplyNet +30 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 82 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 98% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 247. That is 149% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

Going out — closed sales: about 52 a month. That is 67% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 55% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 45% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 4.7 months of supply — inside the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 30 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
4.7

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

025507510020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 52 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 68 — so sales ran at 76% of it, and below it in 24 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
76%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

05,00010,00015,000202212,211202312,513202410,38420258,236
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Polk County, builders pulled permits for 8,236 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 82% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
8,236

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo5.4 mo5.4 months of supplyNet +14 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 41 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 69% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 143.

Going out — closed sales: about 27 a month. That is 57% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months. The drain is drawn 52% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 48% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 5.4 months of supply — inside the 4–6 month balanced range. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 14 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
5.4

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

020406020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 27 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 44 — so sales ran at 61% of it, and below it in 24 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
61%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

05,00010,00015,000202212,211202312,513202410,38420258,236
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Polk County, builders pulled permits for 8,236 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 82% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
8,236

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

4 of 4

Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
15,366
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
9,213
Net households
+6,153
Top origins
Orange, FL4,119
Osceola, FL3,499
Hillsborough, FL3,217
Top destinations
Orange, FL2,300
Hillsborough, FL2,055
Osceola, FL1,987
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Polk County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 15,366 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 9,213 moved out.

Net across those counties: +6,153 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 247 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Orange, FL (4,119 households); most departures went to Orange, FL (2,300).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+6,153

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
15,366
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
9,213
Net households
+6,153
Top origins
Orange, FL4,119
Osceola, FL3,499
Hillsborough, FL3,217
Top destinations
Orange, FL2,300
Hillsborough, FL2,055
Osceola, FL1,987
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Polk County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 15,366 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 9,213 moved out.

Net across those counties: +6,153 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 143 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Orange, FL (4,119 households); most departures went to Orange, FL (2,300).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+6,153

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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