Lotvox market story · compare
ZIP 21784 vs ZIP 21776
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Who's going to sell
Turnover Index not published for 21784 yet.
Where
21784 in Carroll County, MD
21784 is one of 9 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Carroll County, MD — 82% of its own area is in the county.
Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 2 of the 9 with a value.
- Value rank in county
- 2 of 9
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research
Local life
Schools in 21784
11 school locations in 21784: 6 elementary, 2 middle, 3 high.
In alphabetical order: Carrolltowne Elementary, Century High, Eldersburg Elementary, Freedom District Elementary, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.
- School locations
- 11
Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)
Turnover Index not published for 21776 yet.
Where
21776 in Carroll County, MD
21776 is one of 9 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Carroll County, MD — 79% of its own area is in the county.
Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 3 of the 9 with a value.
- Value rank in county
- 3 of 9
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research
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What it costs
Home values
What homes are worth in 21784
In January 2000 the typical home in 21784 was worth $192,271.
Values peaked at $560,198 in August 2026. The latest reading is the peak.
As of August 2026: $560,198, +0.7% over twelve months.
- Typical home value
- $560,198
- 12-month change
- +0.7%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Monthly cost vs. price
Start with the typical home: $560,198. Put 20% down and borrow $448,158 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.
That is $3,103 a month in principal and interest.
The median household here earns $141,228 a year, $11,769 a month. So the payment takes 26.4% of income — rated “affordable” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).
The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 9.0% in 2000.
- Payment share of income
- 26.4%
- Monthly P&I
- $3,103
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Lotvox lens
The payment, at each month's rate
Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,151.
In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,446.
By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,882 — +99% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +25%.
- Payment change since 2020
- +99%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Home value after inflation
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Reported values rose +191% since January 2000.
General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.
Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $379,467. So the real change is +48%, not +191%.
- Real change since 2000
- +48%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Home values
21784 against its neighbors
21784: +191% since January 2000.
Carroll County: +187% since January 2000.
Maryland: +180% since January 2000 — 21784 ran ahead of it by 11 points.
- Change since 2000
- +191%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Rent or own
Owning the typical home costs about $3,663 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $2,145 a month.
Price divided by a year's rent: 21.8. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.
- Price-to-rent
- 21.8
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
Home values
What homes are worth in 21776
In January 2000 the typical home in 21776 was worth $176,128.
Values peaked at $487,322 in July 2026. The latest reading is −0.1% from that peak.
As of August 2026: $486,750, +1.3% over twelve months.
- Typical home value
- $486,750
- 12-month change
- +1.3%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Monthly cost vs. price
Start with the typical home: $486,750. Put 20% down and borrow $389,400 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.
That is $2,696 a month in principal and interest.
The median household here earns $111,923 a year, $9,327 a month. So the payment takes 28.9% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).
The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 10.5% in 2000.
- Payment share of income
- 28.9%
- Monthly P&I
- $2,696
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Lotvox lens
The payment, at each month's rate
Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,055.
In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,256.
By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $2,504 — +99% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +25%.
- Payment change since 2020
- +99%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Home value after inflation
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Reported values rose +176% since January 2000.
General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.
Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $347,607. So the real change is +40%, not +176%.
- Real change since 2000
- +40%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.
Home values
21776 against its neighbors
21776: +176% since January 2000.
Carroll County: +187% since January 2000.
Maryland: +180% since January 2000 — 21776 ran behind it by 4 points.
- Change since 2000
- +176%
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Lotvox lens
Rent or own
Owning the typical home costs about $3,183 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,336 a month.
Price divided by a year's rent: 30.4. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.
- Price-to-rent
- 30.4
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)
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What's moving
Housing pulse
Listings Flow Ladder
Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 53 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 86% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 72. That is 48% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
Going out — closed sales: about 59 a month. That is 97% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.
The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 1.2 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.
The net reading: about 6 more homes sold than came on each month, so inventory is shrinking. The basin is draining.
- Months of supply
- 1.2
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31
Housing pulse
Sales pace vs. normal
Homes sold: about 59 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).
The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 51 — so sales ran at 116% of it, and below it in 14 of the last 24 months.
- Sales vs 2015–19 level
- 116%
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
New supply
Homes being permitted
Across Carroll County, builders pulled permits for 153 new homes in 2025.
Of those, 100% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).
- Units permitted 2025
- 153
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025
Housing pulse
Sales pace vs. normal
Homes sold: about 8 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).
The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 8 — so sales ran at 100% of it, and below it in 14 of the last 24 months.
- Sales vs 2015–19 level
- 100%
Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
New supply
Homes being permitted
Across Carroll County, builders pulled permits for 153 new homes in 2025.
Of those, 100% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).
- Units permitted 2025
- 153
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025
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Who's holding, who's leaving
Housing pulse
Migration and inventory
This ZIP sits in Carroll County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 2,761 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 2,272 moved out.
Net across those counties: +489 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 72 in June 2026.
Most arrivals came from Baltimore, MD (842 households); most departures went to Baltimore, MD (593).
- Net households (top-10 flows)
- +489
Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01
Housing pulse
Migration and inventory
This ZIP sits in Carroll County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 2,761 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 2,272 moved out.
Net across those counties: +489 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 20 in June 2026.
Most arrivals came from Baltimore, MD (842 households); most departures went to Baltimore, MD (593).
- Net households (top-10 flows)
- +489
Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01