Lotvox market story · compare

ZIP 21754 vs ZIP 21770

ZIP 21754

Frederick County, MD

ZIP 21770

Frederick County, MD

1 of 4

Who's going to sell

Turnover Index not published for 21754 yet.

Where

21754 in Frederick County, MD

21701 · $446,37921702 · $455,30521703 · $412,05121704 · $648,64921705 · no value published21710 · $658,40221714 · no value published21716 · $414,99421717 · no value published21718 · no value published21727 · $373,16321754 · $688,79821755 · $568,18821758 · $460,90821762 · $326,56721769 · $564,44421770 · $660,50821771 · $633,81821773 · $551,22421774 · $597,63221777 · $518,43921778 · $441,94921780 · $408,00321788 · $395,47921790 · no value published21791 · $446,75421793 · $465,96721798 · $506,552 21754
$327K$689K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

21754 is one of 28 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Frederick County, MD.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 1 of the 23 with a value.

Value rank in county
1 of 23

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 21754

6 school locations in 21754: 1 elementary, 3 middle, 2 high.

In alphabetical order: Oakdale Elementary, Oakdale High, Oakdale Middle, Urbana High, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
6

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

Turnover Index not published for 21770 yet.

Where

21770 in Frederick County, MD

21701 · $446,37921702 · $455,30521703 · $412,05121704 · $648,64921705 · no value published21710 · $658,40221714 · no value published21716 · $414,99421717 · no value published21718 · no value published21727 · $373,16321754 · $688,79821755 · $568,18821758 · $460,90821762 · $326,56721769 · $564,44421770 · $660,50821771 · $633,81821773 · $551,22421774 · $597,63221777 · $518,43921778 · $441,94921780 · $408,00321788 · $395,47921790 · no value published21791 · $446,75421793 · $465,96721798 · $506,552 21770
$327K$689K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

21770 is one of 28 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Frederick County, MD.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 2 of the 23 with a value.

Value rank in county
2 of 23

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 21770

2 school locations in 21770: 2 elementary.

In alphabetical order: Green Valley Elementary, Kemptown Elementary. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
2

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

2 of 4

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 21754

$0$200K$400K$600K$800K200020052010201520202025Peak April 2026 · $690,415Latest · $688,798
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 21754 was worth $234,758.

Values peaked at $690,415 in April 2026. The latest reading is −0.2% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $688,798, +0.8% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$688,798
12-month change
+0.8%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$688,798
Loan at 20% down
$551,038
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$3,815
Median household income, per month
$14,983
Share of income
25.5%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 8.7% → 25.5%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $688,798. Put 20% down and borrow $551,038 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $3,815 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $179,797 a year, $14,983 a month. So the payment takes 25.5% of income — rated “affordable” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 8.7% in 2000.

Payment share of income
25.5%
Monthly P&I
$3,815

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K$4K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $1,6776.67% rate · $3,544
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,406.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,677.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $3,544 — +111% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +33%.

Payment change since 2020
+111%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$250K$500K$750K$1.0M200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +193% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $463,319. So the real change is +49%, not +193%.

Real change since 2000
+49%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

21754 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
21754 (2000 = 100)Frederick County (2000 = 100)Maryland (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

21754: +193% since January 2000.

Frederick County: +189% since January 2000.

Maryland: +180% since January 2000 — 21754 ran ahead of it by 13 points.

Change since 2000
+193%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$4,504
principal + interest $3,815 · taxes & insurance est. $689
Rent: county median rent (ACS)
$1,774
Price-to-rent ratio
32.4
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Census ACS · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $4,504 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,774 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 32.4. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
32.4

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Home values

What homes are worth in 21770

$0$200K$400K$600K$800K200020052010201520202025Peak April 2026 · $661,229Latest · $660,508
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 21770 was worth $231,663.

Values peaked at $661,229 in April 2026. The latest reading is −0.1% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $660,508, +0.6% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$660,508
12-month change
+0.6%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$660,508
Loan at 20% down
$528,406
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$3,659
Median household income, per month
$15,372
Share of income
23.8%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 8.3% → 23.8%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $660,508. Put 20% down and borrow $528,406 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $3,659 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $184,464 a year, $15,372 a month. So the payment takes 23.8% of income — rated “affordable” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 8.3% in 2000.

Payment share of income
23.8%
Monthly P&I
$3,659

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$1K$2K$3K$4K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $1,6196.67% rate · $3,398
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $1,387.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $1,619.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $3,398 — +110% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +32%.

Payment change since 2020
+110%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$250K$500K$750K$1.0M200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +185% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $457,211. So the real change is +44%, not +185%.

Real change since 2000
+44%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

21770 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
21770 (2000 = 100)Frederick County (2000 = 100)Maryland (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

21770: +185% since January 2000.

Frederick County: +189% since January 2000.

Maryland: +180% since January 2000 — 21770 ran ahead of it by 5 points.

Change since 2000
+185%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$4,319
principal + interest $3,659 · taxes & insurance est. $660
Rent: county median rent (ACS)
$1,774
Price-to-rent ratio
31.0
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Census ACS · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $4,319 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,774 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 31.0. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
31.0

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

3 of 4

What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo2.4 mo2.4 months of supplyNet +3 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 15 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026).

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 30.

Going out — closed sales: about 13 a month.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.4 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 3 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
2.4

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

05101520252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 13 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 9 — so sales ran at 144% of it, and below it in 17 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
144%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

01,0002,0003,00020222,56620231,64620241,56220251,168
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Frederick County, builders pulled permits for 1,168 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 70% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
1,168

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

0510152020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 7 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 11 — so sales ran at 64% of it, and below it in 24 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
64%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

01,0002,0003,00020222,56620231,64620241,56220251,168
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Frederick County, builders pulled permits for 1,168 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 70% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
1,168

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

4 of 4

Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
5,021
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
3,461
Net households
+1,560
Top origins
Montgomery, MD2,352
Washington, MD523
Howard, MD412
Top destinations
Washington, MD953
Montgomery, MD941
Carroll, MD363
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Frederick County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 5,021 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 3,461 moved out.

Net across those counties: +1,560 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 30 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Montgomery, MD (2,352 households); most departures went to Washington, MD (953).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+1,560

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
5,021
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
3,461
Net households
+1,560
Top origins
Montgomery, MD2,352
Washington, MD523
Howard, MD412
Top destinations
Washington, MD953
Montgomery, MD941
Carroll, MD363
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Frederick County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 5,021 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 3,461 moved out.

Net across those counties: +1,560 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 18 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Montgomery, MD (2,352 households); most departures went to Washington, MD (953).

Net households (top-10 flows)
+1,560

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

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