Lotvox market story · compare

ZIP 20854 vs ZIP 20816

ZIP 20854

Montgomery County, MD

ZIP 20816

Montgomery County, MD

1 of 4

Who's going to sell

Turnover Index not published for 20854 yet.

Where

20854 in Montgomery County, MD

20854 · $1,266,15020850 · $676,57320878 · $686,19320817 · $1,277,87320818 · $1,236,12120812 · $1,306,56320852 · $528,12420899 · no value published20874 · $411,84120880 · $622,65320851 · $536,92420877 · $471,99620816 · $1,261,29020892 · no value published20894 · no value published20896 · $1,046,68520814 · $742,69120855 · $679,78220889 · no value published20886 · $383,34120853 · $628,77420815 · $1,147,96120895 · $798,18020879 · $437,84020876 · $477,81220841 · $826,27120902 · $535,53820906 · $441,92920910 · $640,85620832 · $657,02520837 · $723,75120882 · $791,41820901 · $586,62420860 · $809,89320912 · $676,76120871 · $625,41920839 · $663,91120838 · $723,68720872 · $544,72520903 · $514,747 20854
$383K$1.3M typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

20854 is one of 48 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Montgomery County, MD.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 3 of the 36 nearby ZIPs shown.

Value rank among nearby ZIPs
3 of 36

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 20854

9 school locations in 20854: 6 elementary, 2 middle, 1 high.

In alphabetical order: Bells Mill Elementary, Beverly Farms Elementary, Cabin John Middle, Cold Spring Elementary, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
9

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

Turnover Index not published for 20816 yet.

Where

20816 in Montgomery County, MD

20816 · $1,261,29020812 · $1,306,56320894 · no value published20818 · $1,236,12120892 · no value published20815 · $1,147,96120817 · $1,277,87320814 · $742,69120889 · no value published20896 · $1,046,68520895 · $798,18020852 · $528,12420910 · $640,85620902 · $535,53820851 · $536,92420912 · $676,76120901 · $586,62420854 · $1,266,15020853 · $628,77420850 · $676,57320906 · $441,92920903 · $514,74720855 · $679,78220904 · $582,15720880 · $622,65320877 · $471,99620878 · $686,19320832 · $657,02520905 · $672,74620899 · no value published20860 · $809,89320861 · $956,24220886 · $383,34120868 · $755,33520879 · $437,84020866 · $457,72620862 · $903,73220833 · $804,75320874 · $411,84120876 · $477,812 20816
$383K$1.3M typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

20816 is one of 48 ZIP codes that lie mostly in Montgomery County, MD.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 4 of the 36 nearby ZIPs shown.

Value rank among nearby ZIPs
4 of 36

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 20816

3 school locations in 20816: 2 elementary, 1 middle.

In alphabetical order: Westbrook Elementary, Westland Middle, Wood Acres Elementary. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
3

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

2 of 4

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 20854

$0$500K$1.0M$1.5M200020052010201520202025Peak May 2025 · $1,277,206Latest · $1,266,150
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 20854 was worth $481,673.

Values peaked at $1,277,206 in May 2025. The latest reading is −0.9% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $1,266,150, +0.1% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$1,266,150
12-month change
+0.1%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$2K$4K$6K$8K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $3,1576.67% rate · $6,514
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $2,884.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $3,157.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $6,514 — +106% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +30%.

Payment change since 2020
+106%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$500K$1.0M$1.5M$2.0M200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +163% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $950,631. So the real change is +33%, not +163%.

Real change since 2000
+33%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

20854 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
20854 (2000 = 100)Montgomery County (2000 = 100)Maryland (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

20854: +163% since January 2000.

Montgomery County: +182% since January 2000.

Maryland: +180% since January 2000 — 20854 ran behind it by 18 points.

Change since 2000
+163%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$8,279
principal + interest $7,013 · taxes & insurance est. $1,266
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$4,488
Price-to-rent ratio
23.5
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $8,279 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $4,488 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 23.5. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
23.5

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Home values

What homes are worth in 20816

$0$500K$1.0M$1.5M200020052010201520202025Peak May 2025 · $1,265,000Latest · $1,261,290
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 20816 was worth $425,338.

Values peaked at $1,265,000 in May 2025. The latest reading is −0.3% from that peak.

As of August 2026: $1,261,290, +1.1% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$1,261,290
12-month change
+1.1%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$1,261,290
Loan at 20% down
$1,009,032
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$6,986
Median household income, per month
$19,274
Share of income
36.2%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 12.2% → 36.2%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $1,261,290. Put 20% down and borrow $1,009,032 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $6,986 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $231,284 a year, $19,274 a month. So the payment takes 36.2% of income — rated “severe” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 12.2% in 2000.

Payment share of income
36.2%
Monthly P&I
$6,986

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$2K$4K$6K$8K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $3,1816.67% rate · $6,489
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $2,547.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $3,181.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $6,489 — +104% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +28%.

Payment change since 2020
+104%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$500K$1.0M$1.5M$2.0M200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +197% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $839,448. So the real change is +50%, not +197%.

Real change since 2000
+50%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

20816 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
20816 (2000 = 100)Montgomery County (2000 = 100)Maryland (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

20816: +197% since January 2000.

Montgomery County: +182% since January 2000.

Maryland: +180% since January 2000 — 20816 ran ahead of it by 16 points.

Change since 2000
+197%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$8,248
principal + interest $6,986 · taxes & insurance est. $1,262
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$3,576
Price-to-rent ratio
29.4
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $8,248 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $3,576 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 29.4. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
29.4

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

3 of 4

What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo2.2 mo2.2 months of supplyNet +2 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 54 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 80% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 114. That is 50% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

Going out — closed sales: about 52 a month. That is 72% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.2 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 2 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
2.2

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

025507510020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 52 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 48 — so sales ran at 108% of it, and below it in 13 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
108%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

02,0004,0006,00020224,23720232,86020243,65620251,411
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Montgomery County, builders pulled permits for 1,411 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 57% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
1,411

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo2.8 mo2.8 months of supplyNet +5 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 23 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026).

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 53.

Going out — closed sales: about 19 a month. The drain is drawn 38% narrower: the share of homes for sale that sell each month is 62% of its 2015–2019 level.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.8 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 5 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
2.8

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

01020304020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 19 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 17 — so sales ran at 112% of it, and below it in 15 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
112%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

New supply

Homes being permitted

02,0004,0006,00020224,23720232,86020243,65620251,411
1-unit buildings2–4 units5+ units
Source: Census permits · as of 2025Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

Across Montgomery County, builders pulled permits for 1,411 new homes in 2025.

Of those, 57% were in 1-unit buildings (the Census Bureau's category for detached and attached single homes).

Units permitted 2025
1,411

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · data as of 2025

4 of 4

Who's holding, who's leaving

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
12,327
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
15,047
Net households
−2,720
Top origins
Prince George's, MD3,735
District of Columbia, DC3,120
Fairfax, VA1,040
Top destinations
Prince George's, MD3,823
District of Columbia, DC2,420
Frederick, MD2,352
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Montgomery County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 12,327 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 15,047 moved out.

Net across those counties: −2,720 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 114 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Prince George's, MD (3,735 households); most departures went to Prince George's, MD (3,823).

Net households (top-10 flows)
−2,720

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

County records

On the county rolls

Properties on the assessor roll
85
Average assessor market value
$527,300
Typical home value (ZHVI)
$1,266,150
Assessor vs market
−58.4%
Source: County records · Zillow (ZHVI) · LotvoxSource: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

County assessor records list 85 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $527,300; the typical home value is $1,266,150.

The assessor average sits −58.4% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.

Properties on the roll
85

Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Housing pulse

Migration and inventory

Moved in (top-10 origin counties)
12,327
Moved out (top-10 destination counties)
15,047
Net households
−2,720
Top origins
Prince George's, MD3,735
District of Columbia, DC3,120
Fairfax, VA1,040
Top destinations
Prince George's, MD3,823
District of Columbia, DC2,420
Frederick, MD2,352
Homes for sale, 2012–2026
Source: IRS SOI · Redfin · as of 2026-06-01Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

This ZIP sits in Montgomery County. IRS tax returns for 2022-2023: among the ten counties sending the most households, 12,327 moved in. Among the ten receiving the most, 15,047 moved out.

Net across those counties: −2,720 households. Beside it, homes for sale in this ZIP: 53 in June 2026.

Most arrivals came from Prince George's, MD (3,735 households); most departures went to Prince George's, MD (3,823).

Net households (top-10 flows)
−2,720

Source: IRS Statistics of Income, county-to-county migration data; Redfin Data Center (market tracker data) · data as of 2026-06-01

Own in 20854?What's my home worth?Own in 20816?What's my home worth?An agent?Claim one of these ZIPs