Lotvox market story · compare

ZIP 06418 vs ZIP 06451

ZIP 06418

New Haven County, CT

ZIP 06451

New Haven County, CT

1 of 4

Who's going to sell

Turnover Index not published for 06418 yet.

Where

06418 in New Haven County, CT

06418 · $343,24906401 · $385,55506483 · $422,37106477 · $634,41106525 · $707,48806461 · $506,24106403 · $426,53706460 · $512,12506515 · $386,15006478 · $596,11006516 · $366,48606524 · $562,31706519 · $307,16006514 · $344,42106511 · $372,07306510 · $398,42606770 · $354,04206517 · $391,10406518 · $401,74706762 · $551,73006488 · $453,49606513 · $303,41306712 · $476,27106512 · $365,04806706 · $287,16906473 · $476,60106708 · $305,70906702 · no value published06704 · $269,87406705 · $270,60406710 · $313,73206410 · $542,93406492 · $430,70206716 · $394,97506471 · $461,03706405 · $468,67806472 · $505,16006451 · $336,75806450 · $322,07806437 · $641,820 06418
$270K$707K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

06418 is one of 41 ZIP codes that lie mostly in New Haven County, CT.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 30 of the 39 nearby ZIPs shown.

Value rank among nearby ZIPs
30 of 39

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

Local life

Schools in 06418

5 school locations in 06418: 3 elementary, 1 middle, 1 high.

In alphabetical order: Bradley School, Derby High School, Derby Middle School, Irving School, and more on the ZIP page. Locations only — no ratings are shown here.

School locations
5

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (school locations)

Turnover Index not published for 06451 yet.

Where

06451 in New Haven County, CT

06451 · $336,75806450 · $322,07806410 · $542,93406492 · $430,70206712 · $476,27106716 · $394,97506473 · $476,60106705 · $270,60406472 · $505,16006518 · $401,74706704 · $269,87406524 · $562,31706706 · $287,16906702 · no value published06514 · $344,42106517 · $391,10406471 · $461,03706710 · $313,73206708 · $305,70906513 · $303,41306770 · $354,04206515 · $386,15006511 · $372,07306512 · $365,04806403 · $426,53706510 · $398,42606525 · $707,48806519 · $307,16006405 · $468,67806437 · $641,82006762 · $551,73006516 · $366,48606443 · $725,70506483 · $422,37106401 · $385,55506477 · $634,41106418 · $343,24906478 · $596,11006461 · $506,24106460 · $512,125 06451
$270K$726K typical home value
Source: Census TIGER/Line · Zillow (ZHVI)Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

06451 is one of 41 ZIP codes that lie mostly in New Haven County, CT.

Shaded by typical home value, it ranks 31 of the 39 nearby ZIPs shown.

Value rank among nearby ZIPs
31 of 39

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, TIGER/Line boundaries; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research

2 of 4

What it costs

Home values

What homes are worth in 06418

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K20122015201820212024Peak August 2026 · $343,249Latest · $343,249
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2012 the typical home in 06418 was worth $159,279.

Values peaked at $343,249 in August 2026. The latest reading is the peak.

As of August 2026: $343,249, +3.2% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$343,249
12-month change
+3.2%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$343,249
Loan at 20% down
$274,599
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,901
Median household income, per month
$6,310
Share of income
30.1%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2012–2026: 14.0% → 30.1%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $343,249. Put 20% down and borrow $274,599 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,901 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $75,718 a year, $6,310 a month. So the payment takes 30.1% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 14.0% in 2012.

Payment share of income
30.1%
Monthly P&I
$1,901

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K$2K201220152018202120242.68% rate · $6906.67% rate · $1,766
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2012 (3.92%) the payment was $602.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $690.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,766 — +156% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +61%.

Payment change since 2020
+156%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K20122015201820212024
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2012Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +116% since January 2012.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +47% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2012 home was worth $233,583. So the real change is +47%, not +116%.

Real change since 2012
+47%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

06418 against its neighbors

5010015020025020122015201820212024
06418 (2012 = 100)New Haven County (2012 = 100)Connecticut (2012 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

06418: +116% since January 2012.

New Haven County: +91% since January 2012.

Connecticut: +90% since January 2012 — 06418 ran ahead of it by 25 points.

Change since 2012
+116%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,245
principal + interest $1,901 · taxes & insurance est. $344
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,889
Price-to-rent ratio
15.1
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,245 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,889 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 15.1. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
15.1

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Home values

What homes are worth in 06451

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025Peak August 2026 · $336,758Latest · $336,758
Typical home value
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

In January 2000 the typical home in 06451 was worth $110,833.

Values peaked at $336,758 in August 2026. The latest reading is the peak.

As of August 2026: $336,758, +5.0% over twelve months.

Typical home value
$336,758
12-month change
+5.0%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Monthly cost vs. price

Typical home
$336,758
Loan at 20% down
$269,406
30-year fixed rate
7.40%
Monthly principal + interest
$1,865
Median household income, per month
$5,673
Share of income
32.9%
0%30%60%
At today's rate, by home value, 2000–2026: 10.8% → 32.9%
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Census ACS · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Start with the typical home: $336,758. Put 20% down and borrow $269,406 at 7.40%, the 30-year fixed average as of October 8, 2026.

That is $1,865 a month in principal and interest.

The median household here earns $68,081 a year, $5,673 a month. So the payment takes 32.9% of income — rated “stretched” (Lotvox ZIP bands: under 28% affordable · 28–36% stretched · 36%+ severe).

The line holds today's rate fixed and moves only the price: at that rate, the same share was 10.8% in 2000.

Payment share of income
32.9%
Monthly P&I
$1,865

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Lotvox lens

The payment, at each month's rate

$0$500$1K$2K$2K2000200520102015202020252.68% rate · $6456.67% rate · $1,733
Monthly P&I at that month's 30-year rate
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Take the typical home's price each month, borrow 80% at that month's actual 30-year average rate: in January 2000 (8.21%) the payment was $664.

In December 2020, with rates at 2.68%, it was $645.

By August 2026, at 6.67%, it was $1,733 — +169% since December 2020, while the home's value moved +69%.

Payment change since 2020
+169%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Home value after inflation

$0$100K$200K$300K$400K200020052010201520202025
Home value (as reported)Prices in general (CPI-U), scaled to January 2000Home value in August 2026 dollars
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · BLS CPI via FRED · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Reported values rose +204% since January 2000.

General prices (CPI-U) rose +97% over the same span.

Divide one by the other: in August 2026 dollars, the 2000 home was worth $218,740. So the real change is +54%, not +204%.

Real change since 2000
+54%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index (CPI-U), via FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08
Deflated with CPI-U (seasonally adjusted, FRED CPIAUCSL) to August 2026; the site's Housing pulse chart uses its own CPI series, so older months can differ slightly.

Home values

06451 against its neighbors

0100200300400200020052010201520202025
06451 (2000 = 100)New Haven County (2000 = 100)Connecticut (2000 = 100)
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

06451: +204% since January 2000.

New Haven County: +180% since January 2000.

Connecticut: +174% since January 2000 — 06451 ran ahead of it by 30 points.

Change since 2000
+204%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Lotvox lens

Rent or own

Own: payment + 1.2%/yr taxes & insurance
$2,202
principal + interest $1,865 · taxes & insurance est. $337
Rent: typical rent (ZORI)
$1,997
Price-to-rent ratio
14.1
Source: Zillow (ZHVI) · Zillow (ZORI) · Freddie Mac via FRED · LotvoxSource: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

Owning the typical home costs about $2,202 a month once taxes and insurance (estimated at 1.2% of price a year) are added. Renting runs about $1,997 a month.

Price divided by a year's rent: 14.1. Lotvox reads under 15 as favoring buying and 20 or more as favoring renting.

Price-to-rent
14.1

Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), Zillow Research; Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE30US), retrieved from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

3 of 4

What's moving

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo2.3 mo2.3 months of supplyNet −1 / month · inventory shrinking
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 12 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026).

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 30.

Going out — closed sales: about 13 a month.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 2.3 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 1 more homes sold than came on each month, so inventory is shrinking. The basin is draining.

Months of supply
2.3

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

0510152020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 13 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 14 — so sales ran at 93% of it, and below it in 17 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
93%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Housing pulse

Listings Flow Ladder

per month / homes for sale2024-092026-08balanced 4–6 mo1.9 mo1.9 months of supplyNet +6 / month · inventory growing
New listings / monthHomes for saleClosed sales / monthBasin water level = months of supply
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08-31Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Picture the Listings Flow Ladder as a basin: new listings pour in from the faucet, the homes for sale are the water, and closed sales run out the drain. Coming in — new listings: about 28 a month (Redfin, 3-month rolling data through August 2026). That is 76% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

On the shelf — homes for sale at the end of the period: 42.

Going out — closed sales: about 23 a month. That is 74% of the 2015–2019 level for the same months.

The ladder: homes for sale ÷ monthly sales = 1.9 months of supply — below the 4–6 month range Lotvox treats as balanced. In the basin, that is the water level against the shaded balanced band.

The net reading: about 6 more homes came on than sold each month, so inventory is growing. The basin is filling.

Months of supply
1.9

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08-31

Housing pulse

Sales pace vs. normal

01020304020252026
Homes sold per monthSame months, 2015–2019
Source: Redfin · Lotvox · as of 2026-08Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

Homes sold: about 23 a month in August 2026 (Redfin).

The 2015–2019 level for the same month was 27 — so sales ran at 85% of it, and below it in 20 of the last 24 months.

Sales vs 2015–19 level
85%

Source: Redfin Data Center (market tracker data); Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above) · data as of 2026-08

4 of 4

Who's holding, who's leaving

County records

On the county rolls

Properties on the assessor roll
2,952
Average assessor market value
$212,600
Typical home value (ZHVI)
$343,249
Assessor vs market
−38.1%
Source: County records · Zillow (ZHVI) · LotvoxSource: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

County assessor records list 2,952 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $212,600; the typical home value is $343,249.

The assessor average sits −38.1% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.

Properties on the roll
2,952

Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

County records

On the county rolls

Properties on the assessor roll
6,229
Average assessor market value
$201,400
Typical home value (ZHVI)
$336,758
Assessor vs market
−40.2%
Source: County records · Zillow (ZHVI) · LotvoxSource: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

County assessor records list 6,229 properties with a market value here. Their average assessed market value is $201,400; the typical home value is $336,758.

The assessor average sits −40.2% from the market figure — an average against a typical value, so treat it as a check, not a verdict.

Properties on the roll
6,229

Source: County assessor and recorder public records; Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), Zillow Research; Lotvox analysis (calculations on the sources above)

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