Steamboat Springs, CO · Routt County, CO · 1,433 properties with county records
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Hayden 81639 is in Routt County, CO. The typical home value in Hayden 81639 is $522,217 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026), up 4.3% from a year earlier. Homes that sold went under contract in a median 55 days, and 28% of listings took a price cut (Redfin Data Center, period ending Aug 31, 2026). On Lotvox's market-leverage reading of that data, with 8.1 months of supply, neither buyers nor sellers hold a clear edge. The Lotvox Turnover Index is not published for 81639 yet: it appears only where a held-out test on the county's recorded sales beats chance. Across Routt County's 6 ZIPs with a Zillow value, the middle one is $600,513, so 81639 sits 13% below the county middle. Typical rent is $2,350 a month (Zillow Observed Rent Index, July 2026). Lotvox holds county assessor records for 1,433 properties in 81639.
Headline value data through August 2026. Each source below carries its own date.
Is 81639 a buyer's or seller's market?
By Lotvox's leverage reading of Redfin data through Aug 31, 2026, 81639 is a balanced market. Homes went under contract in a median 55 days with 8.1 months of supply.
What do homes in 81639 sell for?
The typical home value in 81639 is $522,217 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026), up 4.3% in a year. County records put the median at about $169 per square foot (computed Jul 26, 2026).
Who is likely to sell in 81639?
Lotvox only publishes its Turnover Index where a held-out test on recorded sales beats chance, and 81639 has not passed that test yet. When it does, the score appears here.
How does 81639 compare to Routt County?
81639's typical value of $522,217 compares with a middle value of $600,513 across Routt County's 6 ZIPs. Both are Zillow Home Value Index figures for August 2026.
Where does this 81639 data come from?
Values and rents come from Zillow's research data, sales pace from the Redfin Data Center, and property counts and turnover from county assessor and deed records. Each number on this page carries its own date, and the method is published at lotvox.com/methodology.
Cite as: Lotvox ZIP market record, 81639 Hayden, CO, data through August 2026, https://lotvox.com/routt-county-co/zip/81639
Listings Flow Ladder — 81639
Faucet, basin and drain — new listings in, active inventory, closed sales out.as of Aug 31, 2026
the basin is fillingnet 4 listings/mo
Faucet — new listings
9/mo
81% of normal (11) · trickle· baseline thin
Basin — active listings
35
121% of normal (29) · high· baseline thin
Months of supply
8.1 mo
derived — not published at this grain
Drain — closed sales
4/mo
50% of normal (9)· baseline thin
Net — faucet minus drain
+4/mo
filling
Reading
current
as of 2026-08-31
Compare against:2015-01-01 to 2019-12-31 · 5 same-month points
How plugged is the drain? Two definitions, both ours, deliberately not reconciled.
59%Absorption vs its own normal— 1 - (closed sales / active listings) / same-month median of that ratio
50%Closed sales vs its own normal— 1 - closed sales per month / same-month median closed sales per month
Closed sales over 24 months — two different numbers, deliberately not merged.
1/mofall in the monthly rate (24%)— peak 6/mo (2024-09-30) to 4/mo now
54transactions that did not happen— summed monthly shortfall vs the same-month normal, over 21 months below it (vs 2015-19 (COVID excluded))
rate_drop_from_peak is a change in the monthly rate; cumulative_shortfall_vs_normal counts transactions not transacted. They are different quantities and are not interchangeable.
2026-08-31
Redfin market data (county + ZIP), via Lotvox. As of 2026-08-31. Normal = same-month median of monthly rates, minimum 3 same-month points. Source window 3 months (flows shown per month). months_of_supply is not published at this grain (0 non-null rows measured); derived here as active listings / closed sales per month. A fresher supply-only read (2 new, 35 active, 2026-09-01, Realtor.com inventory (county + ZIP), via Lotvox) is available but is NOT used in the net — that source publishes no closed sales, so subtracting across it would mix two vintages.
Should you buy here?
buyer-timing lens
50affordability /100
Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.
Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / seller
buyer-timing lens
Negotiate Hard
Needs 8% correction for affordability
DOM: 116d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)60
Supply & Demand (20%)40
Buy vs Rent (15%)100
Days on Market (5%)100
Moderate buyer leverage in 81639. Room to negotiate 5-10% below list. Payment burden: 30.6% of median income. Median days on market: 116. Renting is approximately 168% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 32.1).
What to Offer
Offer 5-10% below list. You have room to negotiate.
estimated monthly P&I at the CURRENT rate (7.4% as of 2026-10-08), held constant — 20% down, 30yr fixed
as of 2026-08-31 · Zillow ZHVI + FRED MORTGAGE30US (fred, as of 2026-10-08) + Census median household income
Real Home Values
$522,217in 2026-08 dollars (nominal $522,217)
real (2026-08 = 100 deflator)nominal
price basis: Zillow ZHVI
as of 2026-08-31 · Zillow ZHVI + CPI (national deflator)
Listings Flow Ladder
New listings
8.667
Active listings
35
Closed sales
4.333
Net flow
+4.333 · filling
months of supply 8.1 (balanced band 4–6)
new listingsclosed sales
as of 2026-08-31 · Redfin market data (county + ZIP), via Lotvox
Migration vs Inventory
county migration (parent)
-44net migration (2022-2023), losing — households
in 304 · out 348 · Routt County, CO (parent county of this ZIP)
active inventory
as of 2026-06-01 · IRS SOI county-to-county migration flows 2022-2023 + Redfin inventory history
Price bands
mix-shift
Price Bands — the median behind the median
A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from the most recent recorded sale per property in Routt.
Current tiers · 12 months to Apr 26floor 10 sales/tier
4 tiers had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row.
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
$101k
$228
14
20.6%
ZIP
$250k–$500k
$403k
$300
24
35.3%
ZIP
$500k–$750k
$620k
$331
14
20.6%
ZIP
$750k–$1M
$875k
$656
120
—
COUNTY · Routt, CO
$1M–$1.5M
$1.24M
$688
138
—
COUNTY · Routt, CO
$1.5M–$2M
$1.74M
$823
85
—
COUNTY · Routt, CO
$2M+
$3.20M
$983
192
—
COUNTY · Routt, CO
All sales (the headline median)
$450k
$300
68
100%
ZIP
No mix-shift history for this area. no geography from this ZIP up to metro has 8+ quarters of 10+ recorded arms-length sales across at least 4 price tiers. Trends are drawn only from recorded transactions; the last-sale snapshot above cannot carry a time series, because a property that sold twice keeps only its latest sale — which drags the history upward through the tiers and would invent the very mix shift this section exists to test for.
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the West census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 81639.
United States
West
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Apr 26 (5 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
ZIP 81639→Routt County, COPop: 25,241
12-Month Direction
-12Moderate Deterioration
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
36· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.
Payment Burden
32.6%
stretched
Source: Freddie Mac PMMS (FRED MORTGAGE30US) 7.4% · Zillow ZHVI · Census income · Updated 2026-10-08
Price-to-rent
18.5x
neutral
Source: Zillow ZHVI ÷ (Zillow ZORI × 12)
Valuation0
+117.8%
overvalued
Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15
Supply/Demand
8.1 mo
buyer's market
Source: Redfin Data Center (ZIP): inventory ÷ monthly homes sold · Updated 2026-08-31
Insurance Risk
51/100
elevated
Source: FEMA/NFIP · Updated 2026-04
County distress indicators
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Economic indicators are mixed relative to comparable U.S. counties.
Unemployment Rate
3.9%
CO 3.8%US 4.4%
Near national averages
Source: BLS LAUS · 2026-0845d ago
Poverty Rate
5.6%
CO 9.4%US 12.6%
Lower than most U.S. counties
Median Household Income
$104,803
CO $94,510US $82,006
Higher than most U.S. counties
Cost of Living (RPP)
107.5
CO 111.8US 100.3
Near national averages
Home Value (ZHVI)$1,134,522
County data: BLS, Census ACS, CDC, FBI UCR, Federal Reserve, USDA
Tenure by age of householder (ACS B25007) is not published below county. Any ZIP figure here is DERIVED from the county's age-specific owner rates applied to this ZIP's own age structure — never read directly.
Derived — this ZIP
7.2% in 2023
of owner-occupied homes have a householder 75 or older
