Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens
Negotiate Hard
Needs 29.9% correction for affordability
DOM: 67d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)90
Valuation Gap (25%)10
Supply & Demand (20%)100
Buy vs Rent (15%)100
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)75
Moderate buyer leverage in 27609. Room to negotiate 5-10% below list. Payment burden: 41.9% of median income. A 16% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 67. Renting is approximately 159% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 31.1).
What to Offer
Offer 5-10% below list. You have room to negotiate.
A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Wake.
Aggregate median +0.9% YoY in this ZIP, but the under-$500k tier is -5.3% — the headline median is essentially flat, so the tier move is what matters here. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 39.2% to 40.5% (+1.3pp) and the $1M+ share from 23.5% to 23.1% (-0.4pp).
Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
$225k
$145
15
3.8%
ZIP
$250k–$500k
$374k
$233
146
36.7%
ZIP
$500k–$750k
$607k
$298
107
26.9%
ZIP
$750k–$1M
$850k
$392
38
9.5%
ZIP
$1M–$1.5M
$1.25M
$370
26
6.5%
ZIP
$1.5M–$2M
$1.74M
$429
24
6.0%
ZIP
$2M+
$2.59M
$529
42
10.6%
ZIP
All sales (the headline median)
$580k
$287
398
100%
ZIP
Share of sales by tier (quarterly)
If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)
The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
All sales (headline)
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the South census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 27609.
United States
South
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
Wake County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
County Coverage (3 counties)
ZIP 27609 spans 3 counties
Moderate (41)
This ZIP code crosses county lines. Property data shows Wake (76.9%), Johnston (16.9%) and Mecklenburg (6.2%). County metrics below are shown separately for each county.
Wake (76.9%)
Johnston (16.9%)
Mecklenburg (6.2%)
ZIP 27609→3 counties
Wake County 76.9%Johnston County 16.9%Mecklenburg County 6.2%
12-Month Direction
-6Stable
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
Why this score
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
33· Distressed
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.
Economic indicators remain stronger than national averages.
Unemployment Rate
3.0%
NC 3.5%US 4.4%
Lower than most U.S. counties
Source: BLS LAUS · 2026-0667d ago
Poverty Rate
7.2%
NC 12.9%US 12.6%
Lower than most U.S. counties
Median Household Income
$101,763
NC $71,866US $82,006
Higher than most U.S. counties
Cost of Living (RPP)
93.8
NC 93.8US 100.3
Lower than most U.S. counties
Home Value (ZHVI)$482,534
County data: BLS, Census ACS, CDC, FBI UCR, Federal Reserve, USDA · Coverage derived from property records · Counties with <2% coverage excluded as likely data errors