New Haven County, CT · 14,953 properties with county records
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Meriden 06451 is in New Haven, CT, part of the New Haven Metro. The ZIP-wide typical value in Meriden 06451 is $333,249 (Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026), up 4.9% from a year earlier. Homes that sold went under contract in a median 33 days, and 9% of listings took a price cut (Redfin Data Center, period ending Sep 30, 2026). On Lotvox's market-leverage reading of that data, with 2.1 months of supply, neither buyers nor sellers hold a clear edge. The Lotvox Turnover Index is not published for 06451 yet: it appears only where a held-out test on the county's recorded sales beats chance. Across New Haven's 40 ZIPs with a Zillow value, the middle one is $400,190, so 06451 sits 17% below the county middle. Typical rent is $1,964 a month (Zillow Observed Rent Index, September 2026). Lotvox holds county assessor records for 14,953 properties in 06451.
Headline value data through September 2026. Each source below carries its own date.
Is 06451 a buyer's or seller's market?
By Lotvox's leverage reading of Redfin data through Sep 30, 2026, 06451 is a balanced market. Homes went under contract in a median 33 days with 2.1 months of supply.
What do homes in 06451 sell for?
The ZIP-wide typical value in 06451 is $333,249 (Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026), up 4.9% in a year. County records put the median at about $131 per square foot (computed Apr 21, 2026).
Who is likely to sell in 06451?
Lotvox only publishes its Turnover Index where a held-out test on recorded sales beats chance, and 06451 has not passed that test yet. When it does, the score appears here.
How does 06451 compare to New Haven?
06451's ZIP-wide typical value of $333,249 compares with a middle value of $400,190 across New Haven's 40 ZIPs. Both are Zillow Home Value Index figures for September 2026.
Where does this 06451 data come from?
Values and rents come from Zillow's research data, sales pace from the Redfin Data Center, and property counts and turnover from county assessor and deed records. Each number on this page carries its own date, and the method is published at lotvox.com/methodology.
Not available for this ZIP — no rent or ownership-cost estimate published here.
Rent to price
Not available for this ZIP — no price-to-rent ratio published here.
65
/100
stable
hot · balanced · prices rising year-over-year.
Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / seller
buyer-timing lens
Balanced Market
Needs 7.1% correction for affordability
DOM: 49d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)50
Valuation Gap (25%)80
Supply & Demand (20%)70
Buy vs Rent (15%)50
Cancellation Rate (10%)0
Days on Market (5%)60
Balanced market in 06451. List price is roughly fair — focus on condition and value. Payment burden: 30.1% of median income. Median days on market: 49. Renting is approximately 41% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 16.9). Market appears 15% overpriced vs. assessed values.
Balanced market conditions. Prices roughly aligned with fundamentals — similar to stable periods in 2014-2015.
HOTBALANCED
Market is running hot with fast-moving inventory. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers. Prices up 4.9% YoY.
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Median price: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). Median rent: Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). Days on market and active listings: Redfin Data Center, rolling 90 days.
Valuation
3 lenses, different anchors
vs assessor
-39.6%
Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.
Avg assessor$201,400
county CAMA · properties_v
vs income
—
Fair-value model not available for this market.
fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage
vs county comps
—
County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.
New Haven—
Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap
Read together: Anchors disagree because they measure different things — read each on its own terms.
Housing pulse — Housing pulse could not be loaded (429).
Price bands
mix-shift
Price Bands — the median behind the median
A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in New Haven.
Current tiers · 12 months to Invalid Datefloor 10 sales/tier
7 tiers had too few sales at every level and are left blank rather than estimated.
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$250k–$500k
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$500k–$750k
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$750k–$1M
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1M–$1.5M
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1.5M–$2M
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$2M+
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
No mix-shift history for this area. no geography from this ZIP up to metro has 8+ quarters of 10+ recorded arms-length sales across at least 4 price tiers. Trends are drawn only from recorded transactions; the last-sale snapshot above cannot carry a time series, because a property that sold twice keeps only its latest sale — which drags the history upward through the tiers and would invent the very mix shift this section exists to test for.
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the Northeast census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 06451.
United States
Northeast
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
ZIP 06451→New Haven County, CT
12-Month Direction
+36Strong Improvement
Confidence
85%
DeterioratingStableImproving
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
45· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.
Payment Burden
32.3%
stretched
Source: Freddie Mac PMMS (FRED MORTGAGE30US) 7.32% · Zillow ZHVI · Census income · Updated 2026-10-22
Price-to-rent
14.1x
favors buying
Source: Zillow ZHVI ÷ (Zillow ZORI × 12)
Supply/Demand
2.1 mo
seller's market
Source: Redfin Data Center (ZIP): inventory ÷ monthly homes sold · Updated 2026-09-30
County distress indicators
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Economic indicators are mixed relative to comparable U.S. counties.
Unemployment Rate
US 3.9%
—
Poverty Rate
US 11.5%
—
Median Household Income
US $74,755
—
Cost of Living (RPP)
107.5
CT 107.5US 100.3
Near national averages
Home Value (ZHVI)$408,094
County data: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), BLS, Census ACS, CDC, FBI UCR, Federal Reserve, USDA
