Leadville · Lake County, CO · 1,172 properties with county records
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Leadville 81251 is in Lake County, CO. The typical home value in Leadville 81251 is $649,976 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026), up 4.3% from a year earlier. Homes that sold went under contract in a median 112 days, and 0% of listings took a price cut (Redfin Data Center, period ending Aug 31, 2026). On Lotvox's market-leverage reading of that data, with 6.5 months of supply, neither buyers nor sellers hold a clear edge. The Lotvox Turnover Index is not published for 81251 yet: it appears only where a held-out test on the county's recorded sales beats chance. Lotvox holds county assessor records for 1,172 properties in 81251.
Headline value data through August 2026. Each source below carries its own date.
Is 81251 a buyer's or seller's market?
By Lotvox's leverage reading of Redfin data through Aug 31, 2026, 81251 is a balanced market. Homes went under contract in a median 112 days with 6.5 months of supply.
What do homes in 81251 sell for?
The typical home value in 81251 is $649,976 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026), up 4.3% in a year. County records put the median at about $368 per square foot (computed Jul 26, 2026).
Who is likely to sell in 81251?
Lotvox only publishes its Turnover Index where a held-out test on recorded sales beats chance, and 81251 has not passed that test yet. When it does, the score appears here.
How does 81251 compare to Lake County?
Lotvox does not hold enough ZIP-level values in Lake County to compare. The county page lists every covered ZIP.
Where does this 81251 data come from?
Values and rents come from Zillow's research data, sales pace from the Redfin Data Center, and property counts and turnover from county assessor and deed records. Each number on this page carries its own date, and the method is published at lotvox.com/methodology.
Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / seller
buyer-timing lens
Strong Buyer's Market
Needs 47.6% correction for affordability
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)100
Valuation Gap (25%)100
Days on Market (5%)75
Strong buyer leverage in 81251. If you must buy now, offer 10-15% below list price. Payment burden: 52.5% of median income. A 33% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 65. Market appears 61% overpriced vs. assessed values.
What to Offer
Offer 10-15% below list price. Sellers are under pressure.
Conditions most similar to late 2007 — overvaluation without corresponding income growth. Significant correction potential.
WARMINGBALANCED
Market is warming with rising prices. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers. Prices up 4.3% YoY.
Address lookup
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Housing pulse — Housing pulse could not be loaded (429).
Price bands
mix-shift
Price Bands — the median behind the median
A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Lake.
Current tiers · 12 months to Invalid Datefloor 10 sales/tier
7 tiers had too few sales at every level and are left blank rather than estimated.
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$250k–$500k
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$500k–$750k
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—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$750k–$1M
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1M–$1.5M
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—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1.5M–$2M
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$2M+
—
—
—
—
fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
No mix-shift history for this area. no geography from this ZIP up to metro has 8+ quarters of 10+ recorded arms-length sales across at least 4 price tiers. Trends are drawn only from recorded transactions; the last-sale snapshot above cannot carry a time series, because a property that sold twice keeps only its latest sale — which drags the history upward through the tiers and would invent the very mix shift this section exists to test for.
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the West census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 81251.
United States
West
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
Lake County
County-level context for ZIP 81251
Verified — Lake County
Moderate (31)
ZIP 81251→Lake County, COPop: 7,353
12-Month Direction
-7Stable
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
Why this score
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
49· Weak
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.
Payment Burden
57.3%
severe
Source: Freddie Mac PMMS (FRED MORTGAGE30US) 7.4% · Zillow ZHVI · Census income · Updated 2026-10-08
Price-to-rent
38.8x
favors renting
Source: Zillow ZHVI ÷ (Zillow ZORI × 12)
Valuation11
+74.5%
overvalued
Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15
Supply/Demand
6.5 mo
buyer's market
Source: Redfin Data Center (ZIP): inventory ÷ monthly homes sold · Updated 2026-08-31