hot · seller slight · prices rising year-over-year.
Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.
Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens
Strong Buyer's Market
Needs 65.3% correction for affordability
DOM: 107d (stable) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly
Score Components
Payment Burden (25%)100
Valuation Gap (25%)80
Supply & Demand (20%)40
Buy vs Rent (15%)100
Cancellation Rate (10%)75
Days on Market (5%)100
Strong buyer leverage in 81623. If you must buy now, offer 10-15% below list price. Payment burden: 85.5% of median income. A 59% price correction needed to reach 30% affordability threshold. Median days on market: 107. Renting is approximately 140% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 28.8). Market appears 26% overpriced vs. assessed values.
What to Offer
Offer 10-15% below list price. Sellers are under pressure.
Conditions most similar to late 2007 — overvaluation without corresponding income growth. Significant correction potential.
HOTSELLER SLIGHT
Market is running hot with fast-moving inventory. Sellers hold a slight edge. Prices up 4.6% YoY.
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A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Pitkin.
Aggregate median -12.6% YoY in this ZIP, but the under-$500k tier is +14.3% — the aggregate is falling while the entry tier rises. Over the same year the under-$500k share of sales moved from 12.6% to 17.9% (+5.3pp) and the $1M+ share from 67.4% to 62.7% (-4.7pp).
Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier
3 tiers had too few sales in this ZIP and are shown at county or metro level — see the stamp on each row.
Tier
Median
$/sqft
Sales
Share
Source
Under $250k
$128k
—
24
—
METRO · Glenwood Springs, CO
$250k–$500k
$405k
$420
10
14.9%
ZIP
$500k–$750k
$620k
—
69
—
METRO · Glenwood Springs, CO
$750k–$1M
$825k
—
35
—
METRO · Glenwood Springs, CO
$1M–$1.5M
$1.15M
—
10
14.9%
ZIP
$1.5M–$2M
$1.82M
—
12
17.9%
ZIP
$2M+
$3.34M
—
20
29.9%
ZIP
All sales (the headline median)
$1.30M
$420
67
100%
ZIP
Share of sales by tier (quarterly)
If the upper tiers widen over time, the headline median rises on composition alone.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
Median within each tier, against the headline median (quarterly)
The blue line is the single number NAR-style reporting quotes. The gold lines are what each tier actually did. Log scale — the tiers span an order of magnitude, and on a log axis equal slopes mean equal percentage moves, which is the comparison being made.
Under $250k
$250k–$500k
$500k–$750k
$750k–$1M
$1M–$1.5M
$1.5M–$2M
$2M+
All sales (headline)
National context — not local
NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the West census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 81623.
United States
West
Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.
Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.
Garfield County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration
ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.
County Coverage (2 counties)
ZIP 81623 spans 2 counties
Healthy (25)
This ZIP code crosses county lines. Property data shows Garfield (90.5%) and Pitkin (9.5%). County metrics below are shown separately for each county.
Garfield (90.5%)
Pitkin (9.5%)
ZIP 81623→2 counties
Garfield County 90.5%Pitkin County 9.5%
12-Month Direction
+8Stable
Confidence
100%
DeterioratingStableImproving
Why this score
BuildersLens Market Intelligence
Market Score
32· Distressed
Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.
Economic indicators remain stronger than national averages.
Unemployment Rate
3.1%
CO 3.8%US 4.4%
Lower than most U.S. counties
Source: BLS LAUS · 2026-0667d ago
Poverty Rate
9.1%
CO 9.4%US 12.6%
Lower than most U.S. counties
Median Household Income
$86,172
CO $94,510US $82,006
Higher than most U.S. counties
Cost of Living (RPP)
112.5
CO 111.8US 100.3
Higher than many comparable counties
Home Value (ZHVI)$696,166
County data: BLS, Census ACS, CDC, FBI UCR, Federal Reserve, USDA · Coverage derived from property records · Counties with <2% coverage excluded as likely data errors