Horse Shoe 28742

Asheville, NC · Henderson County, NC · 1,588 properties · updated 7/26/2026

Should you buy here?buyer-timing lens

49affordability /100

Buyer leverage is balanced; weigh payment burden and the 3-lens valuation before bidding.

Payment burden

31.8%

stretched

Days on market

112

daily

Price cuts

0.0%

of active

Valuation

-55.2%

vs assessor

Look up an address

/100

mixed

cooling · balanced · prices easing year-over-year.

Verdict grades housing conditions; buyer-timing, investor cash-flow, supply-tightness and county macro scores answer different questions — each in its own section.

Buyer / sellerbuyer-timing lens

Strong Buyer's Market

Needs 5.7% correction for affordability

DOM: 114d (rising) · Market Dynamics rolling median · hourly

Score Components

Payment Burden (25%)50

Valuation Gap (25%)100

Supply & Demand (20%)100

Buy vs Rent (15%)100

Cancellation Rate (10%)100

Days on Market (5%)100

Strong buyer leverage in 28742. If you must buy now, offer 10-15% below list price. Payment burden: 31.1% of median income. Median days on market: 114. Renting is approximately 262% cheaper than buying (price-to-rent ratio: 43.4). Market appears 33% overpriced vs. assessed values.

What to Offer

Offer 10-15% below list price. Sellers are under pressure.

Conditions most similar to late 2007 — overvaluation without corresponding income growth. Significant correction potential.

COOLINGBALANCED

Market is cooling with expanding inventory. Conditions are balanced between buyers and sellers. Prices down 1.4% YoY.

Address lookup$99 report path

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<p style="font:12px system-ui;margin:4px 0 0"><a href="https://lotvox.com/asheville/zip/28742?utm_source=embed&utm_medium=backlink">Horse Shoe 28742 housing market data</a> by <a href="https://lotvox.com/">Lotvox</a></p>

Market snapshoteach number, once

Median price

$499,459

▾ 1.4% YoY

Days on market

112

daily · zip_data

Median rent

$946

ZORI

Investor score

23/100

cash-flow lens

Active listings

90-day

Valuation3 lenses, different anchors

vs assessor

-55.2%

Market vs assessed value — a tax-roll lag, not a deal signal.

Avg assessor$223,630

county CAMA · properties_v

vs income

—

Fair-value model not available for this market.

fair_value_scores · 10-state coverage

vs county comps

+56.0%

County-wide market — the widest, slowest signal.

Henderson+56.0%

Lotvox comps · mv_valuation_gap

Read together: Above county comps but sustainable on local incomes.

Pricing detail

Price / sqft$281

Price-to-income5.1×

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How 28742 ranks in NC

percentile vs all NC ZIPs

Comparative ranking not available for this ZIP.

Affordability, supply & momentum

24SUPPLY

OversuppliedSupply Tightness

Ample inventory — buyers have time and leverage to negotiate.

Months of Supply28.0 mo

Days on Market112d

Inv vs History-26.2%

Listing Density12.7/1k

Market dynamics

Price cut %0.0%

Momentumcooling

LeverageBALANCED

Months of supply28

Sales (90d)0

Investment analysis

Median rent$946

Price-to-rent43.4

Est. cap rate1.5%

Buy vs rentfavors renting

Livability

Walk score—

Transit score—

Bike score—

Historical trends

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Price bandsmix-shift

Price Bands — the median behind the median

A single median rises whenever expensive homes become a bigger share of what sells, even if no tier got more expensive. These are the tiers underneath it, computed from recorded arms-length deed transactions in Henderson.

Current tiers · 12 months to Aug 25floor 10 sales/tier

7 tiers had too few sales at every level and are left blank rather than estimated.

Tier	Median	$/sqft	Sales	Share	Source
Under $250k	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$250k–$500k	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$500k–$750k	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$750k–$1M	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1M–$1.5M	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$1.5M–$2M	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
$2M+	—	—	—	—	fewer than 10 sales at zip, county and metro level
All sales (the headline median)	$423k	$246	11	100%	METRO · Asheville, NC

No mix-shift history for this area. no geography from this ZIP up to metro has 8+ quarters of 10+ recorded arms-length sales across at least 4 price tiers. Trends are drawn only from recorded transactions; the last-sale snapshot above cannot carry a time series, because a property that sold twice keeps only its latest sale — which drags the history upward through the tiers and would invent the very mix shift this section exists to test for.

National context — not local

NAR's aggregate existing-home median for the United States and the South census region. This is the figure the tiers above are a check on. It is national/regional and says nothing about 28742.

United States
South

Copyright, National Association of Realtors. Reprinted with permission. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED publishes a rolling 13-month window for these series.

Tiers computed from Lotvox parcel and deed substrate through Aug 25 (10 later months withheld as partially loaded). Sample floor 10 sales per tier; below it a figure is drawn from the county or metro and labelled, or left blank. Multi-parcel bulk deeds and duplicate records are excluded.

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Henderson County contextmacro · jobs · debt · migration

ZIP score grades housing; county score adds macro distress (jobs, debt, poverty). They answer different questions.

ZIP 28742→Henderson County, NC

12-Month Direction

-10Moderate Deterioration

Confidence

100%

DeterioratingStableImproving

BuildersLens Market Intelligence

Market Score

34· Distressed

Market Score grades housing-market conditions (affordability, valuation, supply). The county Healthy/Moderate/Distressed badge measures economic distress (jobs, debt, poverty) — the two can read differently.

Payment Burden34

39.4%

severe

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Buy vs Rent23

1.648x

rent advantage

Source: Lotvox · Updated 2026-05-15

Valuation2

+56%

overvalued

Source: Lotvox comps · Updated 2026-05-15